SD
@
10:10p
LAD
Stadium Conditions
Dodger Stadium
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.22×
Wind 3 mph slight_out
61°F
open
+14
7 mph · out
74°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+13
6 mph · out
71°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+11
5 mph · out
70°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
4 mph · out
68°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+9
3 mph · out
67°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.10
61°F, wind 3 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +235 | · | 4 | 0.240 | 93.6 | 12.1% | 25.5% vs RHP | 406 | 18.3% | 23.1% | 34.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +370 | ❄ COLD | 9 | 0.245 | 90.0 | 11.4% | 25.4% vs RHP | 409 | 19.2% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 55 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 18 | 0.206 | 90.8 | 10.3% | 19.0% vs RHP | 398 | 14.5% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Mookie Betts | 59 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 21 | 0.194 | 90.4 | 8.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 385 | 13.3% | 30.8% | 27.3% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Andy Pages | 57 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.202 | 89.2 | 9.0% | 24.5% vs RHP | 389 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 17.7% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Teoscar Hernandez | 50 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.177 | 90.0 | 9.7% | 25.0% vs RHP | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.5% | 5 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 46 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.135 | 89.1 | 7.2% | 11.3% vs RHP | 399 | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 106 | 0.101 | 88.7 | 7.2% | 10.3% vs RHP | 373 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 21 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Manny Machado | 56 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.205 | 90.0 | 6.0% | 27.9% vs RHP | 395 | 20.0% | 38.5% | 26.1% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Ty France | 55 | 🟠 C | +575 | · | 40 | 0.226 | 91.3 | 6.4% | 34.8% vs RHP | 393 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 30.6% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 54 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.235 | 89.3 | 5.5% | 35.7% vs RHP | 397 | 13.7% | 22.2% | 33.2% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 41 | ⚪ D | +500 | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.130 | 89.9 | 5.7% | 12.2% vs RHP | 407 | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.152 | 88.3 | 4.0% | 16.7% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 36 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.105 | 88.0 | 4.5% | 18.4% vs RHP | 395 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Freddy Fermin ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 159 | 0.107 | 86.2 | 3.1% | 4.0% vs RHP | 382 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 12 |