NYM
@
7:10p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.20×
Wind 2 mph out
74°F
open
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.20
74°F, wind 2 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 73 | 🟡 B | +850 | ❄ COLD | 10 | 0.263 | 93.0 | 12.8% | 29.7% vs RHP | 401 | 21.8% | 16.7% | 25.2% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 22 | 0.202 | 89.9 | 11.8% | 26.7% vs RHP | 401 | 15.4% | 14.3% | 33.6% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 52 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 52 | 0.186 | 94.1 | 10.5% | 11.5% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 52 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.127 | 86.4 | 9.6% | 15.2% vs RHP | 391 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 14.4% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.128 | 90.0 | 9.6% | 13.2% vs RHP | 401 | 7.3% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 73 | 0.126 | 90.9 | 8.9% | 8.7% vs RHP | 381 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 39 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.093 | 89.2 | 8.7% | 9.1% vs RHP | 415 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 29 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jj Bleday | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | ❄ COLD | 15 | 0.288 | 90.0 | 8.9% | 34.6% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.5% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.187 | 89.5 | 9.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 393 | 10.6% | 18.2% | 24.0% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 28 | 0.159 | 89.3 | 7.1% | 27.3% | 429 | 14.3% | 50.0% | 24.4% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | · | 30 | 0.198 | 90.7 | 9.8% | 19.1% vs RHP | 394 | 9.1% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.139 | 90.5 | 8.5% | 15.2% vs RHP | 381 | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Mclain | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 60 | 0.165 | 88.6 | 8.2% | 10.9% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.7% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 43 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.129 | 86.5 | 7.1% | 20.0% vs RHP | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Blake Dunn | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 93 | 0.116 | 88.8 | 5.0% | 14.3% vs RHP | 381 | 4.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 35 |