2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
NYM
@ 7:10p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Great American Ball Park

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 1.20× Wind 2 mph out 74°F open
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.20

74°F, wind 2 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Chase Burns
Chase Burns RHP
1.13 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.14 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 73 🟡 B +850 ❄ COLD 10 0.263 93.0 12.8% 29.7% vs RHP 401 21.8% 16.7% 25.2% 40
2 Jared Young Jared Young 64 🔵 C+ · · 22 0.202 89.9 11.8% 26.7% vs RHP 401 15.4% 14.3% 33.6% 33
3 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 52 🟠 C +850 🌧️ COOL 52 0.186 94.1 10.5% 11.5% vs RHP 379 0.0% 0.0% 18.1% 17
4 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 52 🟠 C +950 🌤️ WARM 54 0.127 86.4 9.6% 15.2% vs RHP 391 11.8% 33.3% 14.4% 31
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 66 0.128 90.0 9.6% 13.2% vs RHP 401 7.3% 16.7% 18.6% 34
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 47 ⚪ D · · 73 0.126 90.9 8.9% 8.7% vs RHP 381 8.8% 16.7% 12.4% 38
7 Brett Baty Brett Baty 39 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 106 0.093 89.2 8.7% 9.1% vs RHP 415 4.5% 0.0% 10.3% 29
Tobias Myers
Tobias Myers RHP
1.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.60 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 67 🔵 C+ +950 ❄ COLD 15 0.288 90.0 8.9% 34.6% vs RHP 387 0.0% 0.0% 40.5% 38
2 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 27 0.187 89.5 9.2% 12.5% vs RHP 393 10.6% 18.2% 24.0% 27
3 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 60 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 28 0.159 89.3 7.1% 27.3% 429 14.3% 50.0% 24.4% 21
4 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 60 🔵 C+ +950 · 30 0.198 90.7 9.8% 19.1% vs RHP 394 9.1% 8.3% 16.4% 32
5 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 59 0.139 90.5 8.5% 15.2% vs RHP 381 7.0% 11.1% 11.1% 20
6 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 60 0.165 88.6 8.2% 10.9% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 20.7% 26
7 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 43 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 86 0.129 86.5 7.1% 20.0% vs RHP 388 0.0% 0.0% 11.0% 28
8 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 93 0.116 88.8 5.0% 14.3% vs RHP 381 4.8% 11.1% 10.2% 35
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