KC
@
6:45p
WSH
Stadium Conditions
Nationals Park
First pitch 6:45p
· roof open
Park 1.02×
Wind 4 mph cross
78°F
open
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
6:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.02
78°F, wind 4 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.254 | 95.7 | 13.9% | 35.9% vs RHP | 408 | 30.2% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.231 | 88.9 | 9.2% | 25.0% vs RHP | 398 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 24.2% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 38 | 0.199 | 89.6 | 7.0% | 8.6% vs RHP | 378 | 20.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Cj Abrams ⚡ | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.223 | 90.1 | 8.9% | 28.6% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.1% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Dylan Crews | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.129 | 91.4 | 8.4% | 20.0% vs RHP | 423 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 12.6% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Daylen Lile | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 69 | 0.167 | 87.8 | 7.8% | 12.5% vs RHP | 403 | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Young | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 70 | 0.153 | 89.3 | 7.3% | 24.1% vs RHP | 391 | 10.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 147 | 0.024 | 84.9 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 21 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 49 | 0.168 | 93.6 | 10.7% | 30.0% vs LHP | 414 | 9.8% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Carter Jensen | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 78 | 0.168 | 90.5 | 8.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | 384 | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Starling Marte | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.079 | 91.4 | 10.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | 441 | 4.5% | 33.3% | 11.2% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Nick Loftin | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 110 | 0.138 | 86.6 | 6.7% | 0.0% vs LHP | 381 | 5.9% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Lane Thomas ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 112 | 0.095 | 86.9 | 5.5% | 6.2% vs LHP | 416 | 11.8% | 28.6% | 12.7% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Collins | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.086 | 88.5 | 7.4% | 9.1% vs LHP | 377 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 29 |