2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIA
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.11× Wind 3 mph out 76°F open
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11

76°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto RHP
0.00 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.04 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 78 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 4 0.327 92.9 14.6% 43.2% vs RHP 403 26.6% 16.7% 25.1% 27
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 17 0.240 90.3 11.5% 37.5% vs RHP 403 19.7% 16.7% 21.1% 30
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.168 90.1 8.7% 20.6% vs RHP 391 9.5% 25.0% 15.6% 33
4 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 64 0.155 86.8 8.8% 20.0% vs RHP 398 14.3% 25.0% 14.3% 11
5 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 44 ⚪ D · · 84 0.157 89.7 8.6% 11.1% vs RHP 392 9.8% 0.0% 7.6% 30
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 114 0.110 88.8 7.2% 14.3% vs RHP 394 10.6% 0.0% 6.7% 35
7 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 138 0.104 87.3 3.7% 8.0% vs RHP 382 4.2% 0.0% 6.1% 19
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler RHP
1.12 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.20 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.201 85.7 6.2% 25.5% vs RHP 376 18.8% 20.0% 18.0% 38
2 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 47 0.162 91.7 10.4% 21.4% vs RHP 391 8.9% 11.1% 16.5% 16
3 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 62 0.163 90.4 8.2% 16.1% vs RHP 390 6.7% 16.7% 16.6% 30
4 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 89 0.137 90.3 7.6% 10.5% vs RHP 400 5.8% 8.3% 8.6% 47
5 Joe Mack Joe Mack 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.075 89.3 7.8% 8.3% vs RHP 417 11.1% 20.0% 13.7% 26
6 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 98 0.143 87.2 6.8% 5.1% vs RHP 396 7.2% 0.0% 9.1% 36
7 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 127 0.098 86.6 5.3% 5.7% vs RHP 374 5.8% 0.0% 8.4% 23
8 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 128 0.106 87.1 3.5% 0.0% vs RHP 369 5.0% 12.5% 6.8% 26
🏟️
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