MIA
@
6:40p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.11×
Wind 3 mph out
76°F
open
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11
76°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 4 | 0.327 | 92.9 | 14.6% | 43.2% vs RHP | 403 | 26.6% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.240 | 90.3 | 11.5% | 37.5% vs RHP | 403 | 19.7% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.168 | 90.1 | 8.7% | 20.6% vs RHP | 391 | 9.5% | 25.0% | 15.6% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 64 | 0.155 | 86.8 | 8.8% | 20.0% vs RHP | 398 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Bryson Stott | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 84 | 0.157 | 89.7 | 8.6% | 11.1% vs RHP | 392 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.110 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 14.3% vs RHP | 394 | 10.6% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Crawford | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 138 | 0.104 | 87.3 | 3.7% | 8.0% vs RHP | 382 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 19 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Liam Hicks | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.201 | 85.7 | 6.2% | 25.5% vs RHP | 376 | 18.8% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Owen Caissie | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.162 | 91.7 | 10.4% | 21.4% vs RHP | 391 | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.163 | 90.4 | 8.2% | 16.1% vs RHP | 390 | 6.7% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.137 | 90.3 | 7.6% | 10.5% vs RHP | 400 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 47 |
| 5 |
|
Joe Mack | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.075 | 89.3 | 7.8% | 8.3% vs RHP | 417 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 13.7% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.143 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 5.1% vs RHP | 396 | 7.2% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 127 | 0.098 | 86.6 | 5.3% | 5.7% vs RHP | 374 | 5.8% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 128 | 0.106 | 87.1 | 3.5% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 5.0% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 26 |