2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SD
@ 7:45p
STL
Busch Stadium · 13 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Busch Stadium

First pitch 7:45p · roof open
Park 0.86× Wind 9 mph cross 78°F open
+3
6 mph · out
81°F
7:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
6 mph · out
81°F
8:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
6 mph · out
81°F
9:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
6 mph · out
81°F
10:45p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
6 mph · out
81°F
11:45p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.94

78°F, wind 9 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Wandy Peralta
Wandy Peralta LHP
0.81 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.19 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 60 🔵 C+ +700 · 29 0.269 94.5 7.4% 42.9% vs LHP 408 21.1% 25.0% 26.4% 38
2 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 54 🟠 C +850 · 42 0.286 95.1 8.3% 28.6% 439 0.0% 0.0% 28.1% 23
3 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 51 0.199 91.5 6.8% 5.0% vs LHP 405 19.4% 50.0% 16.6% 42
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 34 ⚪ D · · 122 0.175 89.8 5.4% 35.7% vs LHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 38
5 Nathan Church Nathan Church 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 132 0.140 85.8 5.9% 0.0% vs LHP 387 7.5% 0.0% 6.2% 13
6 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 29 ⚪ D · · 135 0.135 90.6 5.6% 8.7% vs LHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 31
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 144 0.082 87.0 3.7% 0.0% vs LHP 379 3.1% 10.0% 5.1% 32
Dustin May
Dustin May RHP
0.64 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.46 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Rodolfo Duran Rodolfo Duran 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.286 89.1 11.6% 40.0% vs RHP 402 0.0% 0.0% 24.3% 11
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 49 ⚪ D · · 67 0.237 89.2 7.6% 32.4% vs RHP 394 13.1% 18.2% 20.8% 29
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 42 ⚪ D · · 91 0.182 89.8 7.7% 26.5% vs RHP 396 17.2% 16.7% 9.6% 40
4 Ty France Ty France 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 97 0.191 91.4 8.8% 31.2% vs RHP 395 13.3% 0.0% 10.4% 17
5 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 36 ⚪ D +950 · 115 0.140 90.0 8.1% 11.6% vs RHP 405 11.1% 16.7% 7.0% 40
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 136 0.123 88.0 6.9% 20.6% vs RHP 395 11.3% 0.0% 6.4% 21
🏟️
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