2
HRs allowed
7.7%
HR rate (pool)
22.8%
Overall HR/FB
4.29
FIP
3.71
xFIP
+0.58
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
92
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 92th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
56.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.0 EV · 386 ft
max EV allowed 109.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 2 HR ↑
30D · 2 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tobias Myers.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
48.2%
86.3
30.6°
3
-0.5
Splitter Offspeed
22.9%
76.6
19.2°
3
-0.3
Slider Breaking
16.4%
83.7
19.5°
2
+4.3
Cutter Hard
11.1%
82.3
22.6°
2
+3.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups26
HRs allowed (pool)2
Pool HR rate7.7%
Pool HR/game day0.67
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB22.8% 92
HR/9—
FIP4.29 60
xFIP3.71
FIP − xFIP+0.58 76
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed56.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 48.2% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle30.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches355
Splitter
Offspeed · 22.9% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.6 mph
Avg launch angle19.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches169
Slider
Breaking · 16.4% usage
+4.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle19.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches121
Cutter
Hard · 11.1% usage
+3.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle22.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tobias Myers.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
2 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.0 EV · 386 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-15
8
2
105.9
2026-05-22
9
0
104.1
2026-04-19
9
0
109.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tobias Myers isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.