NYM
@
7:15p
ATL
Stadium Conditions
Truist Park
First pitch 7:15p
· roof open
Park 0.93×
Wind 2 mph in
76°F
open
-4
10 mph · cross
80°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-7
10 mph · cross
77°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
7 mph · in
76°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
5 mph · in
75°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
3 mph · in
74°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.93
76°F, wind 2 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 57 | 🟠 C | +290 | · | 31 | 0.254 | 93.0 | 11.6% | 29.5% vs RHP | 399 | 18.3% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 64 | 0.177 | 89.4 | 9.5% | 18.2% vs RHP | 410 | 12.7% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 48 | ⚪ D | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.182 | 90.4 | 12.8% | 24.1% vs RHP | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.8% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Benge | 44 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 93 | 0.139 | 89.7 | 8.7% | 13.0% vs RHP | 399 | 9.7% | 23.1% | 13.2% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Bo Bichette | 43 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 98 | 0.129 | 90.6 | 8.1% | 11.3% vs RHP | 385 | 10.6% | 23.1% | 11.1% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Torrens ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.103 | 88.0 | 6.4% | 7.1% vs RHP | 394 | 6.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
A.J. Ewing | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 152 | 0.133 | · | 7.5% | 15.0% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 158 | 0.082 | 89.0 | 8.6% | 8.1% vs RHP | 415 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 24 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 53 | 🟠 C | +265 | ❄ COLD | 53 | 0.263 | 92.8 | 9.0% | 29.2% vs RHP | 409 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 48 | ⚪ D | +330 | ❄ COLD | 70 | 0.201 | 91.2 | 9.8% | 28.0% vs RHP | 407 | 18.8% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 39 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.166 | 87.2 | 5.0% | 12.3% vs RHP | 383 | 12.9% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 37 | ⚪ D | +400 | ❄ COLD | 146 | 0.146 | 90.8 | 7.6% | 13.5% vs RHP | 409 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 36 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 149 | 0.137 | 90.3 | 5.3% | 15.4% vs RHP | 374 | 7.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Dominic Smith | 35 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 156 | 0.133 | 87.9 | 6.4% | 14.3% vs RHP | 390 | 7.6% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 32 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.146 | 86.5 | 5.5% | 13.5% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 41 |