2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs
NYM
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Truist Park

First pitch 7:15p · roof open
Park 0.93× Wind 2 mph in 76°F open
-4
10 mph · cross
80°F
7:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-7
10 mph · cross
77°F
8:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
7 mph · in
76°F
9:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-6
5 mph · in
75°F
10:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
3 mph · in
74°F
11:15p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.93

76°F, wind 2 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes RHP
1.54 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.78 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 57 🟠 C +290 · 31 0.254 93.0 11.6% 29.5% vs RHP 399 18.3% 0.0% 17.7% 26
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 50 🟠 C · · 64 0.177 89.4 9.5% 18.2% vs RHP 410 12.7% 28.6% 20.7% 13
3 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 48 ⚪ D +350 🌤️ WARM 67 0.182 90.4 12.8% 24.1% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 22.8% 24
4 Carson Benge Carson Benge 44 ⚪ D +525 · 93 0.139 89.7 8.7% 13.0% vs RHP 399 9.7% 23.1% 13.2% 38
5 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 43 ⚪ D +500 · 98 0.129 90.6 8.1% 11.3% vs RHP 385 10.6% 23.1% 11.1% 30
6 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.103 88.0 6.4% 7.1% vs RHP 394 6.9% 12.5% 12.0% 13
7 A.J. Ewing A.J. Ewing 35 ⚪ D +700 · 152 0.133 · 7.5% 15.0% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 33
8 Brett Baty Brett Baty 35 ⚪ D +700 · 158 0.082 89.0 8.6% 8.1% vs RHP 415 3.8% 0.0% 7.2% 24
Christian Scott
Christian Scott RHP
1.01 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.04 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 53 🟠 C +265 ❄ COLD 53 0.263 92.8 9.0% 29.2% vs RHP 409 20.0% 0.0% 17.4% 30
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 48 ⚪ D +330 ❄ COLD 70 0.201 91.2 9.8% 28.0% vs RHP 407 18.8% 0.0% 14.1% 24
3 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 39 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 123 0.166 87.2 5.0% 12.3% vs RHP 383 12.9% 16.7% 14.3% 41
4 Austin Riley Austin Riley 37 ⚪ D +400 ❄ COLD 146 0.146 90.8 7.6% 13.5% vs RHP 409 7.1% 0.0% 7.3% 25
5 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 36 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 149 0.137 90.3 5.3% 15.4% vs RHP 374 7.4% 12.5% 11.2% 15
6 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 35 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 156 0.133 87.9 6.4% 14.3% vs RHP 390 7.6% 0.0% 8.0% 20
7 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 32 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 171 0.146 86.5 5.5% 13.5% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 41
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