MIL
@
1:35p
ATL
Stadium Conditions
Truist Park
First pitch 1:35p
· roof open
Park 0.94×
Wind 1 mph cross
82°F
open
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
1:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
2:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
3:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
4:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
5:35p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.03
82°F, wind 1 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.286 | 93.2 | 10.8% | 22.2% vs LHP | 409 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 27.2% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.236 | 92.3 | 12.3% | 53.8% vs LHP | 407 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 34.4% | 8 |
| 3 |
|
Eli White | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 82 | 0.187 | 87.3 | 7.5% | 18.2% vs LHP | 366 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 106 | 0.165 | 91.1 | 9.2% | 20.0% vs LHP | 409 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 135 | 0.149 | 87.2 | 6.0% | 13.8% vs LHP | 383 | 13.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.141 | 86.3 | 7.0% | 8.3% vs LHP | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.111 | 86.9 | 7.8% | 0.0% vs LHP | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 3 |
| 8 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.000 | 84.6 | 4.4% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 5 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 34 | 0.255 | 92.4 | 7.3% | 20.5% vs RHP | 395 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 27.6% | 46 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Bauers | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.271 | 92.6 | 7.1% | 36.8% vs RHP | 399 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 27.8% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 102 | 0.202 | 90.8 | 5.9% | 29.7% vs RHP | 406 | 11.3% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.164 | 92.6 | 7.3% | 27.8% vs RHP | 422 | 7.4% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 175 | 0.139 | 90.1 | 5.2% | 15.6% vs RHP | 420 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 180 | 0.144 | 88.4 | 5.1% | 17.6% vs RHP | 399 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 221 | 0.098 | 85.9 | 3.7% | 7.5% vs RHP | 383 | 5.8% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.089 | 86.0 | 2.8% | 7.1% vs RHP | 402 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 20 |