2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIL
@ 1:35p
ATL
Truist Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Truist Park

First pitch 1:35p · roof open
Park 0.94× Wind 1 mph cross 82°F open
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
1:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
2:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
3:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
4:35p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
10 mph · in
78°F
5:35p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.03

82°F, wind 1 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Robert Gasser
Robert Gasser LHP
1.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.67 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 16 0.286 93.2 10.8% 22.2% vs LHP 409 22.7% 15.4% 27.2% 32
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 22 0.236 92.3 12.3% 53.8% vs LHP 407 22.2% 0.0% 34.4% 8
3 Eli White Eli White 52 🟠 C · · 82 0.187 87.3 7.5% 18.2% vs LHP 366 18.2% 20.0% 15.8% 16
4 Austin Riley Austin Riley 46 ⚪ D · · 106 0.165 91.1 9.2% 20.0% vs LHP 409 8.1% 0.0% 11.3% 21
5 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 42 ⚪ D · · 135 0.149 87.2 6.0% 13.8% vs LHP 383 13.3% 7.7% 10.3% 37
6 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 168 0.141 86.3 7.0% 8.3% vs LHP 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 34
7 Joey Bart Joey Bart 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 177 0.111 86.9 7.8% 0.0% vs LHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 3
8 Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 234 0.000 84.6 4.4% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 5
Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder RHP
0.92 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.21 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 62 🔵 C+ · · 34 0.255 92.4 7.3% 20.5% vs RHP 395 20.0% 40.0% 27.6% 46
2 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.271 92.6 7.1% 36.8% vs RHP 399 20.0% 25.0% 27.8% 16
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 46 ⚪ D · · 102 0.202 90.8 5.9% 29.7% vs RHP 406 11.3% 18.2% 16.6% 31
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 130 0.164 92.6 7.3% 27.8% vs RHP 422 7.4% 18.2% 14.1% 29
5 William Contreras William Contreras 35 ⚪ D · · 175 0.139 90.1 5.2% 15.6% vs RHP 420 8.8% 9.1% 8.7% 37
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 35 ⚪ D · · 180 0.144 88.4 5.1% 17.6% vs RHP 399 7.7% 11.1% 8.0% 29
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 221 0.098 85.9 3.7% 7.5% vs RHP 383 5.8% 0.0% 6.2% 15
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 227 0.089 86.0 2.8% 7.1% vs RHP 402 3.3% 0.0% 6.2% 20
🏟️
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