2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CIN
@ 1:35p
NYY
Yankee Stadium · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Yankee Stadium

First pitch 1:35p · roof open
Park 1.13× Wind 6 mph in 80°F open
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
1:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
2:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
3:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
4:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
3 mph · in
68°F
5:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.25

80°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Chase Burns
Chase Burns RHP
1.06 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.05 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ben Rice Ben Rice 81 🟢 A +475 · 2 0.322 92.0 12.2% 36.2% vs RHP 390 25.4% 25.0% 39.5% 38
2 Spencer Jones Spencer Jones 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 21 0.250 97.1 5.9% 36.4% vs RHP 443 16.7% 28.6% 41.8% 13
3 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 57 🟠 C +575 · 64 0.194 89.3 8.5% 12.1% vs RHP 379 13.2% 25.0% 21.6% 42
4 Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez 52 🟠 C +700 🌤️ WARM 80 0.262 90.4 4.6% 50.0% vs RHP 353 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 19
5 Ryan Mcmahon Ryan Mcmahon 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.151 90.7 10.4% 23.5% vs RHP 380 0.0% 0.0% 22.8% 18
6 Austin Wells Austin Wells 38 ⚪ D +700 · 154 0.092 89.3 8.1% 12.5% vs RHP 377 8.5% 0.0% 10.6% 0
7 Jose Caballero Jose Caballero 37 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 158 0.145 83.7 5.5% 16.7% vs RHP 371 0.0% 0.0% 14.1% 26
8 Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe 37 ⚪ D +850 🔥 HOT 167 0.121 87.6 6.6% 0.0% vs RHP 409 3.0% 0.0% 6.2% 26
Elmer Rodríguez RHP
0.00 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.44 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 28 0.300 89.8 6.9% 33.3% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 26.7% 35
2 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 60 🔵 C+ · · 46 0.189 89.6 7.6% 14.3% vs RHP 394 12.7% 27.3% 16.6% 24
3 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 59 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 50 0.187 88.6 5.1% 50.0% vs RHP 429 12.5% 42.9% 23.2% 24
4 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 59 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 55 0.223 89.1 7.1% 32.1% vs RHP 398 16.7% 0.0% 14.2% 19
5 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 58 🟠 C · · 62 0.199 90.8 8.0% 19.6% vs RHP 395 10.0% 16.7% 12.5% 36
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.131 90.7 6.7% 14.7% vs RHP 381 6.7% 12.5% 8.2% 17
7 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 119 0.153 86.9 5.9% 26.3% vs RHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 15.5% 23
8 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 166 0.118 88.5 3.6% 11.8% vs RHP 381 4.0% 0.0% 6.6% 31
🏟️
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