2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
NYM
@ 7:20p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 7:20p · roof open
Park 1.12× Wind 5 mph in 83°F open
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
7:20p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
8:20p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
9:20p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
10:20p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
11:20p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.23

83°F, wind 5 mph NE (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

David Peterson
David Peterson LHP
0.67 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.17 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 78 🟡 B +400 · 3 0.316 93.3 11.4% 40.9% vs LHP 404 27.5% 25.0% 42.2% 29
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 62 🔵 C+ +700 🌤️ WARM 36 0.226 90.4 8.8% 12.5% vs LHP 402 19.7% 16.7% 20.9% 33
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 50 🟠 C +900 🌧️ COOL 88 0.169 89.8 6.7% 8.3% vs LHP 393 10.3% 16.7% 16.1% 30
4 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 100 0.155 86.6 6.5% 37.5% vs LHP 398 11.8% 16.7% 14.8% 17
5 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 124 0.155 89.4 6.5% 14.3% vs LHP 392 9.1% 0.0% 12.0% 36
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.142 89.7 5.2% 17.4% vs LHP 385 11.6% 18.2% 9.6% 39
7 Derek Hill Derek Hill 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 134 0.136 90.0 7.3% 36.4% vs LHP 406 6.7% 0.0% 10.8% 9
8 Trea Turner Trea Turner 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 165 0.109 88.8 5.5% 4.3% vs LHP 394 10.0% 0.0% 7.0% 32
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler RHP
1.01 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.11 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 74 🟡 B +500 🌧️ COOL 7 0.274 93.4 10.6% 33.3% vs RHP 399 21.7% 25.0% 37.7% 38
2 Jared Young Jared Young 54 🟠 C +850 ❄ COLD 74 0.172 90.1 10.2% 23.5% vs RHP 401 12.5% 11.1% 14.2% 28
3 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 46 ⚪ D · · 105 0.136 86.3 7.9% 16.7% vs RHP 391 11.0% 16.7% 11.7% 32
4 Carson Benge Carson Benge 45 ⚪ D +1000 · 118 0.125 90.0 8.4% 11.4% vs RHP 404 8.3% 16.7% 9.6% 39
5 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 125 0.122 90.5 7.3% 8.3% vs RHP 381 8.2% 16.7% 11.1% 43
6 Brett Baty Brett Baty 36 ⚪ D · · 172 0.089 89.0 7.4% 9.1% vs RHP 415 4.3% 0.0% 8.9% 19
7 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.095 88.5 5.5% 7.7% vs RHP 413 4.5% 0.0% 7.8% 18
🏟️
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