CHC
@
1:10p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 1:10p
· roof retractable
Park 1.13×
Wind 3 mph out
63°F
retractable
+14
11 mph · out
76°F
1:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
9 mph · out
77°F
2:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
8 mph · out
78°F
3:10p
Boost for HR environment
+11
7 mph · out
79°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+11
8 mph · out
78°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.13
63°F, wind 3 mph ENE (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.231 | 92.3 | 8.8% | 50.0% vs LHP | 395 | 19.5% | 25.0% | 27.9% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Bauers | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.270 | 92.8 | 8.6% | 16.7% vs LHP | 401 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 53 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 65 | 0.163 | 92.5 | 8.7% | 20.0% | 420 | 8.5% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
William Contreras ⚡ | 52 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🔥 HOT | 68 | 0.158 | 90.6 | 6.7% | 10.5% vs LHP | 419 | 12.2% | 27.3% | 19.2% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Turang | 52 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.194 | 91.0 | 7.1% | 12.5% vs LHP | 406 | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.136 | 88.6 | 6.2% | 33.3% vs LHP | 399 | 6.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 34 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 172 | 0.106 | 86.4 | 4.8% | 6.0% | 383 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 196 | 0.092 | 86.0 | 3.7% | 12.5% vs LHP | 402 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 20 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +255 | · | 23 | 0.227 | 91.4 | 9.0% | 22.4% vs RHP | 393 | 19.3% | 35.7% | 26.9% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | ❄ COLD | 37 | 0.235 | 90.0 | 9.9% | 27.1% vs RHP | 403 | 22.0% | 7.1% | 17.4% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 53 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.169 | 89.3 | 7.2% | 15.6% vs RHP | 397 | 13.6% | 28.6% | 18.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 52 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.178 | 89.6 | 8.0% | 25.7% vs RHP | 409 | 12.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Busch | 49 | ⚪ D | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 85 | 0.154 | 88.5 | 8.9% | 14.3% vs RHP | 400 | 11.9% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly | 39 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 146 | 0.114 | 88.7 | 6.8% | 5.3% vs RHP | 421 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 38 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 152 | 0.128 | 87.8 | 5.8% | 16.7% vs RHP | 395 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 202 | 0.102 | 85.5 | 2.7% | 4.4% vs RHP | 383 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 37 |