BAL
@
9:40p
SEA
Stadium Conditions
T-Mobile Park
First pitch 9:40p
· roof retractable
Park 0.90×
Wind 3 mph in
72°F
retractable
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
1:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.90
72°F, wind 3 mph S (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 71 | 🟡 B | +400 | · | 15 | 0.282 | 93.2 | 12.6% | 30.6% vs RHP | 403 | 14.5% | 30.0% | 29.9% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.256 | 90.7 | 12.7% | 37.8% vs RHP | 385 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.185 | 90.4 | 9.4% | 18.2% vs RHP | 410 | 18.5% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 46 | ⚪ D | +290 | ❄ COLD | 112 | 0.157 | 87.5 | 10.9% | 14.6% vs RHP | 390 | 14.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 3 |
| 5 |
|
J.P. Crawford | 43 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.181 | · | 9.5% | 33.3% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.8% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.119 | 87.8 | 7.1% | 17.5% vs RHP | 390 | 11.3% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Cole Young | 35 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.122 | 87.9 | 7.1% | 9.5% vs RHP | 387 | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 48 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 56 | 🟠 C | +350 | · | 60 | 0.218 | 95.0 | 8.8% | 27.7% vs RHP | 398 | 19.4% | 30.8% | 23.6% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Colton Cowser | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.177 | 86.5 | 8.9% | 24.1% vs RHP | 418 | 18.2% | 25.0% | 17.4% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 48 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.209 | 91.9 | 9.0% | 26.5% vs RHP | 400 | 14.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 105 | 0.183 | 91.4 | 8.1% | 13.0% vs RHP | 407 | 15.5% | 22.2% | 16.6% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.172 | 89.4 | 7.0% | 24.1% vs RHP | 391 | 11.9% | 50.0% | 13.3% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 45 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.210 | 90.0 | 7.6% | 16.7% vs RHP | 400 | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 44 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.198 | 89.3 | 7.4% | 16.7% vs RHP | 390 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 25 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🔥 HOT | 215 | 0.093 | 89.7 | 5.3% | 5.3% vs RHP | 386 | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 25 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 218 | 0.125 | 86.8 | 5.1% | 11.5% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 31 |