2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
BAL
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

T-Mobile Park

First pitch 9:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.90× Wind 3 mph in 72°F retractable
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
+6
7 mph · out
87°F
1:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.90

72°F, wind 3 mph S (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish RHP
1.29 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.54 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 71 🟡 B +400 · 15 0.282 93.2 12.6% 30.6% vs RHP 403 14.5% 30.0% 29.9% 32
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.256 90.7 12.7% 37.8% vs RHP 385 19.6% 10.0% 18.9% 24
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 49 ⚪ D +425 🌧️ COOL 88 0.185 90.4 9.4% 18.2% vs RHP 410 18.5% 0.0% 12.1% 38
4 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 46 ⚪ D +290 ❄ COLD 112 0.157 87.5 10.9% 14.6% vs RHP 390 14.0% 0.0% 11.8% 3
5 J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 43 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 133 0.181 · 9.5% 33.3% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 16.8% 6
6 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.119 87.8 7.1% 17.5% vs RHP 390 11.3% 16.7% 8.3% 40
7 Cole Young Cole Young 35 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 183 0.122 87.9 7.1% 9.5% vs RHP 387 7.2% 8.3% 7.3% 48
George Kirby
George Kirby RHP
0.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.18 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 56 🟠 C +350 · 60 0.218 95.0 8.8% 27.7% vs RHP 398 19.4% 30.8% 23.6% 36
2 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.177 86.5 8.9% 24.1% vs RHP 418 18.2% 25.0% 17.4% 28
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 48 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 96 0.209 91.9 9.0% 26.5% vs RHP 400 14.3% 11.1% 12.5% 26
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 105 0.183 91.4 8.1% 13.0% vs RHP 407 15.5% 22.2% 16.6% 19
5 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 118 0.172 89.4 7.0% 24.1% vs RHP 391 11.9% 50.0% 13.3% 6
6 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 45 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 121 0.210 90.0 7.6% 16.7% vs RHP 400 13.2% 11.1% 11.2% 31
7 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 44 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 130 0.198 89.3 7.4% 16.7% vs RHP 390 18.6% 7.7% 10.6% 39
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 25 ⚪ D +575 🔥 HOT 215 0.093 89.7 5.3% 5.3% vs RHP 386 4.1% 7.7% 6.2% 40
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 25 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 218 0.125 86.8 5.1% 11.5% vs RHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 31
🏟️
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