2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PIT
@ 9:40p
ATH
Sutter Health Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Sutter Health Park

First pitch 9:40p · roof unknown
Park 1.17× Wind unknown unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.17

Unknown stadium. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Aaron Civale
Aaron Civale RHP
1.97 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.51 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 77 🟡 B +235 🌧️ COOL 5 0.261 90.0 10.0% 26.0% vs RHP 393 18.0% 25.0% 36.4% 33
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 62 🔵 C+ +390 🌤️ WARM 34 0.169 91.1 9.1% 13.3% vs RHP 416 13.4% 23.1% 21.5% 40
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 59 🟠 C +390 🌤️ WARM 42 0.181 86.4 8.2% 18.4% vs RHP 391 11.7% 16.7% 16.4% 36
4 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 58 🟠 C +370 🌧️ COOL 52 0.163 90.0 7.3% 21.6% vs RHP 380 16.3% 20.0% 17.3% 32
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 46 ⚪ D +390 ❄ COLD 116 0.101 89.5 8.2% 11.5% vs RHP 408 6.8% 0.0% 9.2% 11
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 37 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 168 0.070 85.8 5.0% 8.0% vs RHP 389 3.1% 7.7% 8.7% 42
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 30 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 201 0.053 83.6 2.6% 10.0% vs RHP 410 3.3% 0.0% 9.4% 35
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft RHP
0.85 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.23 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 75 🟡 B +225 · 9 0.262 94.2 10.2% 46.4% vs RHP 409 23.5% 38.5% 40.9% 34
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 69 🔵 C+ +245 · 18 0.261 91.7 9.2% 22.4% vs RHP 415 21.5% 25.0% 29.5% 46
3 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 65 🔵 C+ +370 · 25 0.242 89.9 7.9% 16.7% vs RHP 403 14.9% 30.8% 30.3% 34
4 Zack Gelof Zack Gelof 59 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 44 0.201 89.0 6.7% 23.1% vs RHP 399 24.0% 30.8% 24.3% 37
5 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 46 ⚪ D · · 111 0.165 89.9 7.0% 18.2% vs RHP 404 6.0% 9.1% 12.5% 27
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 38 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 161 0.108 89.3 6.0% 22.7% vs RHP 399 3.4% 11.1% 10.5% 25
7 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 32 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 194 0.083 86.4 2.5% 10.3% vs RHP 373 10.0% 16.7% 8.9% 24
8 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 30 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 199 0.100 84.1 3.3% 12.0% vs RHP 368 3.9% 0.0% 8.2% 14
🏟️
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