NYM
@
12:40p
CIN
Stadium Conditions
Great American Ball Park
First pitch 12:40p
· roof open
Park 1.20×
Wind 5 mph cross
78°F
open
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
12:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
1:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
2:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
3:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+0
7 mph · in
78°F
4:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.32
78°F, wind 5 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 79 | 🟡 B | · | ❄ COLD | 4 | 0.258 | 93.0 | 13.2% | 17.4% vs LHP | 401 | 21.1% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.159 | 89.3 | 10.3% | 11.8% vs LHP | 412 | 10.9% | 0.0% | 21.8% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Marcus Semien | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 51 | 0.134 | 86.2 | 9.8% | 7.1% vs LHP | 391 | 11.4% | 25.0% | 17.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 68 | 0.128 | 91.1 | 9.0% | 26.7% vs LHP | 381 | 8.6% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 52 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 81 | 0.123 | 89.9 | 9.8% | 25.0% vs LHP | 401 | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Torrens | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.099 | 88.5 | 6.9% | 4.8% | 413 | 5.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Zack Short | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.055 | 90.8 | 9.2% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 4 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jj Bleday | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.313 | 90.1 | 8.5% | 35.7% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35.4% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 32 | 0.229 | 89.2 | 8.9% | 32.1% vs RHP | 398 | 17.9% | 0.0% | 20.6% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 40 | 0.183 | 89.0 | 6.6% | 60.0% vs RHP | 429 | 13.6% | 42.9% | 39.4% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 50 | 0.192 | 90.6 | 9.4% | 18.6% vs RHP | 394 | 10.5% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Spencer Steer | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.185 | 89.5 | 8.9% | 12.5% vs RHP | 393 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 23.7% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Mclain | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 98 | 0.163 | 88.6 | 8.0% | 10.4% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.0% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 101 | 0.164 | 86.8 | 7.3% | 27.8% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.5% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Trevino | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.097 | 85.2 | 4.3% | 16.7% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 2 |