KC
@
1:05p
WSH
Stadium Conditions
Nationals Park
First pitch 1:05p
· roof open
Park 1.02×
Wind 7 mph cross
87°F
open
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
1:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
2:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
3:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
4:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
5:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.22
87°F, wind 7 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.265 | 95.7 | 14.5% | 37.5% vs RHP | 408 | 29.1% | 33.3% | 34.1% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 23 | 0.227 | 88.9 | 9.5% | 24.0% vs RHP | 398 | 20.0% | 30.0% | 26.5% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Dylan Crews | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.161 | 92.0 | 9.2% | 25.0% vs RHP | 409 | 23.5% | 33.3% | 18.4% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 66 | 0.208 | 89.6 | 7.3% | 11.1% vs RHP | 378 | 19.0% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Cj Abrams ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.216 | 90.1 | 9.4% | 27.3% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.8% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Daylen Lile | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 89 | 0.167 | 87.9 | 8.1% | 12.2% vs RHP | 403 | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Tena | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.132 | 92.1 | 9.0% | 16.7% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.023 | 84.7 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 24 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 46 | 0.167 | 93.6 | 12.8% | 18.5% vs RHP | 414 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Massey | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 70 | 0.192 | 91.0 | 9.7% | 10.4% vs RHP | 393 | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Carter Jensen | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.162 | 90.7 | 10.0% | 17.0% vs RHP | 384 | 11.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Nick Loftin | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 110 | 0.143 | 86.8 | 8.0% | 8.3% vs RHP | 381 | 5.3% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Lane Thomas ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 124 | 0.089 | 86.9 | 6.5% | 10.0% vs RHP | 416 | 13.9% | 28.6% | 11.8% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Collins | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 159 | 0.083 | 88.8 | 8.9% | 7.1% vs RHP | 377 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 32 |