2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
KC
@ 1:05p
WSH
Nationals Park · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 1:05p · roof open
Park 1.02× Wind 7 mph cross 87°F open
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
1:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
2:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
3:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
4:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
5:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.22

87°F, wind 7 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila RHP
1.20 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.18 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 81 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 2 0.265 95.7 14.5% 37.5% vs RHP 408 29.1% 33.3% 34.1% 30
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 67 🔵 C+ · · 23 0.227 88.9 9.5% 24.0% vs RHP 398 20.0% 30.0% 26.5% 32
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.161 92.0 9.2% 25.0% vs RHP 409 23.5% 33.3% 18.4% 37
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 56 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 66 0.208 89.6 7.3% 11.1% vs RHP 378 19.0% 12.5% 12.8% 27
5 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.216 90.1 9.4% 27.3% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 19.8% 33
6 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 49 ⚪ D · · 89 0.167 87.9 8.1% 12.2% vs RHP 403 9.3% 8.3% 10.4% 38
7 Jose Tena Jose Tena 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 135 0.132 92.1 9.0% 16.7% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 10
8 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.023 84.7 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 24
Zack Littell
Zack Littell RHP 🎯 Susceptible 💥 Meltdown
2.22 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.77 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 59 🟠 C · · 46 0.167 93.6 12.8% 18.5% vs RHP 414 9.5% 8.3% 17.9% 28
2 Michael Massey Michael Massey 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 70 0.192 91.0 9.7% 10.4% vs RHP 393 7.5% 11.1% 12.7% 33
3 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.162 90.7 10.0% 17.0% vs RHP 384 11.8% 9.1% 11.8% 34
4 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 110 0.143 86.8 8.0% 8.3% vs RHP 381 5.3% 12.5% 7.4% 23
5 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 124 0.089 86.9 6.5% 10.0% vs RHP 416 13.9% 28.6% 11.8% 23
6 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 159 0.083 88.8 8.9% 7.1% vs RHP 377 5.0% 0.0% 8.2% 32
🏟️
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