2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIA
@ 1:05p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 1:05p · roof open
Park 1.10× Wind 7 mph slight_out 83°F open
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
1:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
2:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
3:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
4:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
5:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.33

83°F, wind 7 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Sandy Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara RHP
1.08 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.02 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 79 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 3 0.317 93.0 11.8% 42.1% vs RHP 403 27.3% 23.1% 37.5% 29
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.233 90.3 9.3% 36.4% vs RHP 403 19.1% 7.7% 20.2% 34
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.165 90.2 6.9% 19.4% vs RHP 391 10.8% 30.8% 20.3% 34
4 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 108 0.132 89.9 5.3% 15.4% vs RHP 376 12.1% 25.0% 13.5% 39
5 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 44 ⚪ D · · 127 0.154 89.6 6.8% 10.9% vs RHP 392 9.5% 0.0% 10.0% 35
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 165 0.107 88.8 5.7% 14.0% vs RHP 394 10.4% 0.0% 8.5% 35
7 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 197 0.101 87.2 2.9% 7.7% vs RHP 382 4.0% 0.0% 8.1% 21
8 Garrett Stubbs Garrett Stubbs 15 ⚪ D · · 233 0.000 89.6 · 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 0
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter RHP
1.72 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.47 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Esteury Ruiz Esteury Ruiz 75 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 8 0.266 88.8 8.3% 17.6% 381 22.2% 40.0% 32.5% 11
2 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 48 0.158 91.7 10.9% 21.4% vs RHP 391 8.7% 12.5% 17.5% 14
3 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 56 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 65 0.196 85.6 6.4% 25.5% vs RHP 376 18.2% 10.0% 15.7% 39
4 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 82 0.155 90.4 8.5% 15.6% vs RHP 390 6.5% 9.1% 11.1% 25
5 Joe Mack Joe Mack 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.114 89.2 8.1% 15.4% vs RHP 417 10.5% 11.1% 9.3% 21
6 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 115 0.134 90.3 7.9% 10.0% vs RHP 400 5.6% 0.0% 9.4% 45
7 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 122 0.139 87.3 7.1% 5.1% vs RHP 396 7.0% 0.0% 8.4% 33
8 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 164 0.096 86.5 5.5% 5.7% vs RHP 374 5.6% 0.0% 8.0% 22
9 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 171 0.105 87.1 3.5% 0.0% vs RHP 369 4.8% 10.0% 7.7% 31
🏟️
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