MIA
@
1:05p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 1:05p
· roof open
Park 1.10×
Wind 7 mph slight_out
83°F
open
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
1:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
2:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
3:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
4:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+1
5 mph · cross
69°F
5:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.33
83°F, wind 7 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 79 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 3 | 0.317 | 93.0 | 11.8% | 42.1% vs RHP | 403 | 27.3% | 23.1% | 37.5% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 35 | 0.233 | 90.3 | 9.3% | 36.4% vs RHP | 403 | 19.1% | 7.7% | 20.2% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.165 | 90.2 | 6.9% | 19.4% vs RHP | 391 | 10.8% | 30.8% | 20.3% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Bohm | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.132 | 89.9 | 5.3% | 15.4% vs RHP | 376 | 12.1% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Bryson Stott | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 127 | 0.154 | 89.6 | 6.8% | 10.9% vs RHP | 392 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 165 | 0.107 | 88.8 | 5.7% | 14.0% vs RHP | 394 | 10.4% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Crawford | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 197 | 0.101 | 87.2 | 2.9% | 7.7% vs RHP | 382 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Garrett Stubbs | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 233 | 0.000 | 89.6 | · | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 0 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Esteury Ruiz | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.266 | 88.8 | 8.3% | 17.6% | 381 | 22.2% | 40.0% | 32.5% | 11 |
| 2 |
|
Owen Caissie | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 48 | 0.158 | 91.7 | 10.9% | 21.4% vs RHP | 391 | 8.7% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Liam Hicks | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 65 | 0.196 | 85.6 | 6.4% | 25.5% vs RHP | 376 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.155 | 90.4 | 8.5% | 15.6% vs RHP | 390 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Joe Mack | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.114 | 89.2 | 8.1% | 15.4% vs RHP | 417 | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Otto Lopez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 115 | 0.134 | 90.3 | 7.9% | 10.0% vs RHP | 400 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 45 |
| 7 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 122 | 0.139 | 87.3 | 7.1% | 5.1% vs RHP | 396 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.096 | 86.5 | 5.5% | 5.7% vs RHP | 374 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.105 | 87.1 | 3.5% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 4.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 31 |