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DET
@
2:10p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 2:10p
· roof retractable
Park 0.98×
Wind 11 mph slight_out
88°F
retractable
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18
88°F, wind 11 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.304 | 90.9 | 9.6% | 30.4% vs RHP | 394 | 20.6% | 16.7% | 30.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.201 | 90.6 | 10.1% | 23.4% vs RHP | 394 | 16.9% | 33.3% | 23.5% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 57 | 0.232 | 91.0 | 8.9% | 27.3% vs RHP | 377 | 14.5% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 100 | 0.158 | 91.3 | 9.6% | 13.6% vs RHP | 389 | 9.7% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Rogers | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.115 | 86.0 | 8.4% | 6.7% vs RHP | 389 | 10.0% | 50.0% | 9.0% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 153 | 0.123 | 88.9 | 7.8% | 10.0% vs RHP | 380 | 3.2% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Vierling | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 175 | 0.135 | 86.8 | 6.5% | 11.1% vs RHP | 370 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 180 | 0.133 | 88.0 | 7.9% | 6.6% vs RHP | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Hao-Yu Lee | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.123 | 87.8 | 8.8% | 12.5% vs RHP | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 8 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 58 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 55 | 0.259 | 90.4 | 8.7% | 31.9% vs RHP | 390 | 22.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 107 | 0.174 | 87.1 | 6.7% | 22.2% vs RHP | 367 | 11.6% | 33.3% | 19.1% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.139 | 89.5 | 9.2% | 15.6% vs RHP | 415 | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Meyers | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 184 | 0.122 | 85.5 | 6.8% | 12.5% vs RHP | 400 | 10.7% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 205 | 0.116 | 86.1 | 5.3% | 7.4% vs RHP | 423 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 224 | 0.119 | 85.7 | 3.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 228 | 0.066 | 89.7 | 5.3% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 8 |