SD
@
2:15p
STL
Stadium Conditions
Busch Stadium
First pitch 2:15p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 3 mph in
93°F
open
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
2:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
3:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
4:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
5:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
6:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.08
93°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Rodolfo Duran | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.333 | 89.1 | 14.9% | 42.9% vs RHP | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 14 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 78 | 0.230 | 89.2 | 10.1% | 32.4% vs RHP | 394 | 12.7% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 86 | 0.177 | 89.7 | 10.5% | 25.7% vs RHP | 396 | 16.7% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Ty France | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.187 | 91.3 | 11.6% | 29.4% vs RHP | 395 | 11.8% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 137 | 0.136 | 90.0 | 10.8% | 11.6% vs RHP | 405 | 10.8% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.120 | 87.9 | 9.1% | 20.6% vs RHP | 395 | 10.9% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Samad Taylor | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.143 | 83.0 | 7.8% | 50.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 23 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.261 | 94.7 | 6.5% | 32.5% vs RHP | 408 | 20.3% | 25.0% | 22.5% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 99 | 0.208 | 91.6 | 6.0% | 25.0% vs RHP | 405 | 18.8% | 50.0% | 15.3% | 45 |
| 3 |
|
Lars Nootbaar ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 154 | 0.229 | 95.1 | 6.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Jimmy Crooks | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.179 | 90.5 | 5.5% | 14.3% vs RHP | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.171 | 89.7 | 4.6% | 18.5% vs RHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Nathan Church | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 216 | 0.136 | 85.8 | 5.1% | 25.0% vs RHP | 387 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 223 | 0.142 | 90.5 | 4.8% | 17.0% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 234 | 0.080 | 87.1 | 3.1% | 10.5% vs RHP | 379 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 33 |