2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SD
@ 2:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Busch Stadium

First pitch 2:15p · roof open
Park 0.83× Wind 3 mph in 93°F open
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
2:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
3:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
4:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
5:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
6 mph · out
81°F
6:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.08

93°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.29 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.45 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Rodolfo Duran Rodolfo Duran 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 29 0.333 89.1 14.9% 42.9% vs RHP 402 0.0% 0.0% 27.3% 14
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 53 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 78 0.230 89.2 10.1% 32.4% vs RHP 394 12.7% 8.3% 15.6% 30
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 49 ⚪ D · · 86 0.177 89.7 10.5% 25.7% vs RHP 396 16.7% 15.4% 10.0% 41
4 Ty France Ty France 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 97 0.187 91.3 11.6% 29.4% vs RHP 395 11.8% 0.0% 11.0% 20
5 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 43 ⚪ D · · 137 0.136 90.0 10.8% 11.6% vs RHP 405 10.8% 15.4% 7.2% 43
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.120 87.9 9.1% 20.6% vs RHP 395 10.9% 0.0% 7.0% 25
7 Samad Taylor Samad Taylor 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 187 0.143 83.0 7.8% 50.0% 407 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 23
Bradgley Rodriguez
Bradgley Rodriguez RHP
0.25 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.86 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 53 🟠 C · · 75 0.261 94.7 6.5% 32.5% vs RHP 408 20.3% 25.0% 22.5% 42
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 99 0.208 91.6 6.0% 25.0% vs RHP 405 18.8% 50.0% 15.3% 45
3 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 39 ⚪ D · · 154 0.229 95.1 6.9% 16.7% vs RHP 439 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 27
4 Jimmy Crooks Jimmy Crooks 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 198 0.179 90.5 5.5% 14.3% vs RHP 374 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 15
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 28 ⚪ D · · 204 0.171 89.7 4.6% 18.5% vs RHP 405 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 37
6 Nathan Church Nathan Church 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 216 0.136 85.8 5.1% 25.0% vs RHP 387 7.1% 0.0% 5.9% 17
7 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 223 0.142 90.5 4.8% 17.0% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 29
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 234 0.080 87.1 3.1% 10.5% vs RHP 379 3.0% 0.0% 6.4% 33
🏟️
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