2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Rafael Devers 8 HRs · 2 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Francisco Lindor 4 HRs · 6 Colson Montgomery 4 HRs · 7 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 8 Sal Stewart 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 10 Jonathan Aranda 4 HRs · 11 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 12 Daylen Lile 4 HRs 1 Rafael Devers 8 HRs · 2 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Francisco Lindor 4 HRs · 6 Colson Montgomery 4 HRs · 7 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 8 Sal Stewart 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 10 Jonathan Aranda 4 HRs · 11 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 12 Daylen Lile 4 HRs
Cj Abrams
Cj Abrams
WSH · LHB
Cj Abrams

Cj Abrams

LHB
WSH · 12 appearances tracked
4 HRs
33.3% HR Rate
24.6% Avg HR/FB
89.8 Avg EV
0.236 ISO
#3 Best Rank
as of 2026-09-08
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
90
0.235
Avg EV
59
89.6
Barrel%
60
9.0%
HR/FB vs RHP
93
28.1%
Avg HR Dist
53
396
Match%
64
13.3%
Season HR%
33.3%
14D Pace
33.3%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
90
59
60
93
53
64
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 25 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-09-07
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 47.4%
9.9%
13
16.7%
Breaking 37.9%
9.2%
10
31.4%
Offspeed 14.7%
11.1%
6
31.8%
All 100% 9.8% 29 24.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Casey Mize · RHP · WSH
SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2024
.333
AVG
.333
SLG
0
HR
1-for-3 across 3 plate appearances since 2024. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 1 of 4 active
Petco Neutral Pitcher form Steady Platoon Edge Weather -1
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 9.0 vs
9.0
HR/FB 28.1 vs 7.6 ▲ edge
28.1
7.6
K% 24.5 vs
24.5
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 4 this season · avg 414 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Jun 5 @ AZ · Merrill Kelly 106.0 386
Jul 20 @ COL · Antonio Senzatela 100.9 420
Jul 21 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 102.7 434
Sep 6 @ LAD · Justin Wrobleski 106.5 415
HR by month
1
2
1
Jun Jul Sep
All Appearances 12 tracked · 4 HR · 9 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 6 @ LAD · Justin Wrobleski 2 106.5 HR 2 BIP
Sep 5 @ LAD · Tyler Glasnow 1 103.1 1 BIP
Sep 4 @ LAD · Blake Snell 3 100.8 3 BIP
Aug 4 @ PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 99.8 2 BIP
Aug 3 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 1 64.4 1 BIP
Jul 21 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 102.7 HR 3 BIP
Jul 20 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 3 100.9 HR 3 BIP
Jul 18 @ ATH · J.T. Ginn 3 101.3 3 BIP
Jul 17 @ ATH · Gage Jump 5 103.5 5 BIP
Jun 24 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 2 82.7 2 BIP
Jun 8 @ SF · Logan Webb 3 101.4 3 BIP
Jun 5 @ AZ · Merrill Kelly 3 106.0 HR 3 BIP
Ballpark Petco Park · open-air
Park Factor 0.893 Wind 10 mph from NW Temp 87°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p 10 87° -9
7:40p 10 83° -10
8:40p 9 82° -9
9:40p 9 82° -10
10:40p 8 82° -9
-9
Slight red alignment
blend spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
9 mph 12% 6% 24% 28% 29% OPPO PULL Petco Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from pull (from NW)
March 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Tue 9/8
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Sep 6
Season
4 HR
12 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 3 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 51 → 51
ISO (Power)
+23.1
Barrel Matchup
+13.1
season hr rate
+5.6
HR/FB Matchup
+2.1
recent hr density 14d
+2.1
Pitcher FIP
+2.0
Park Factor
+1.7
Exit Velocity
+1.0
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Cj Abrams

Will Cj Abrams hit a home run today?

Cj Abrams is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #54 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Casey Mize at Petco Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Cj Abrams hit home runs?

Across 12 scored games this season, Cj Abrams has 4 home runs — one every 3.0 games, or about 33% of his scored games.

Has Cj Abrams homered off Casey Mize before?

Not yet — Cj Abrams has faced Casey Mize 3 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.171 · build 674

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