2026

Today · 2026-10-18

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card
16 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
@ 5:08p
Locks 0/1
Daily Routine ready Routine
Prime Card 0/6 not saved
‹
⭐ Today's Slate
›
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
📦 STACK Parker Messick FIP 3.12 HR/FB 16.2% → #1 Junior Caminero, #3 Jonathan Aranda, #6 Pro pick, #8 Pro pick, #9 Pro pick, #10 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick
📦 STACK Drew Rasmussen FIP 2.86 HR/FB 15.4% → #2 Angel Martinez, #4 Chase Delauter, #5 Travis Bazzana, #7 Pro pick, #11 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick
# Batter Score Edge Roster Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Last HR Last 5 Due BvP BP Weather
1 51 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
42
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
22d
Last HR · 2026-09-26
OffAaron Nola Exit Velo111.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
○○○●○ 0.3× ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+62
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 42 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
2 39 · ● Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
SHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
18
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%6.6% Avg EV87.5 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
188d
Last HR · 2026-04-13
OffMatthew Liberatore Exit Velo105.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance398 ft StadiumBusch Stadium
●○○●○ · ·
TB Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+62
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
3 39 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
22
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
29d
Last HR · 2026-09-19
OffBrayan Bello Exit Velo98.7 mph Angle31.0° Distance361 ft StadiumTropicana Field
○○○○○ 0.8× 1
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+63
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+63 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
4 36 · ● Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%5.6% Avg EV87.6 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
30d
Last HR · 2026-09-18
OffScott Blewett Exit Velo100.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance411 ft StadiumProgressive Field
○○○○○ 2.7× ·
TB Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+66
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+66 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5 35 · ● Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%6.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— ○○○○○ · ·
TB Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+64
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+64 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
6 34 · ● Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
SHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%6.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
TB Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+65
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+65 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7 33 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%6.1% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+61
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8 32 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%4.7% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+63
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+63 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9 31 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%4.3% Avg EV85.8 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+60
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10 31 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
0
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%4.5% Avg EV86.2 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+59
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11 30 · ● Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
SHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%4.1% Avg EV87.0 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
TB Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+59
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12 28 · ● Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
SHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%5.0% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
TB Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+60
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13 28 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%3.5% Avg EV85.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+61
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 6 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14 22 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
SHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%3.3% Avg EV85.6 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+64
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+64 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 2 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
15 17 · ● Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
0
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%1.6% Avg EV83.9 mph Surprise Barrel—
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
TB Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1396.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+60
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
16 13 · ● Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
5:08p ⚪ D
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
0
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Avg EV83.7 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
— — · ·
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.6% HR/91.10 FIP3.89 IP1377.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+64
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp60°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+64 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note60°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
🔥
Six home runs to freedom

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Tonight's full board — all 16 ranked matchups plus the conviction tools — is Pro. Check the public track record first: every board graded next morning, hits and misses included.

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.
11 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 16.7%
A 19.6%
B 20.1%
C+ 17.2%
C 13.9%
D 9.1%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
THR 3.3.180 · build 681
⚾

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's board graded name-by-name — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board (scores and matchups; batter names are Pro), free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.