Morning Wizard

2026-09-16 · 247 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

HOU

KC @ HOU Wind out 1.452

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.12 hot air · light wind out · retractable roof

1.12× 93°F 5 mph retractable

· · #32 Bobby Witt Jr.

LAD

CIN

LAD @ CIN Wind in 1.390

Great American Ball Park Park × 1.07 hot air · light wind in · roof open

1.07× 90°F 1 mph open

#18 Elly De La Cruz · ·

BOS

TEX

BOS @ TEX Wind out 1.355

Globe Life Field Park × 1.04 hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof

1.04× 98°F 6 mph retractable

· #24 Willson Contreras ·

PHI

WSH

PHI @ WSH Wind out 1.269

Nationals Park Park × 1.15 hot air · light wind out · roof open

1.15× 82°F 6 mph open

· · #13 Bryce Harper

COL

SD @ COL Wind in 1.122

Coors Field Park × 1.02 warm air · light wind in · roof open

1.02× 80°F 4 mph open

#15 Manny Machado 3rd signal park · pitcher · ·

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Step 2 of 9 2 candidates · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Mason Adams ⚠️ High

5 HRs · 0.278 HR/IP · 31.2% HR/FB · 5.82 ERA

FIP 5.82 · xFIP 3.59 · Gap +2.23

Shota Imanaga ⚠️ High

34 HRs · 0.212 HR/IP · 17.6% HR/FB · 4.76 ERA

FIP 4.76 · xFIP 3.88 · Gap +0.88

View full report →

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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