Morning Wizard

2026-08-04 · 214 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

SD @ AZ Wind out 1.584

Chase Field Park × 1.06 hot air · strong partial wind out · retractable roof

1.06× 105°F 14 mph retractable

· #32 Manny Machado ·

TOR

HOU

TOR @ HOU Wind out 1.525

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.09 hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof

1.09× 88°F 11 mph retractable

· · #34 Kazuma Okamoto

WSH

PHI

WSH @ PHI Wind out 1.400

Citizens Bank Park Park × 1.17 hot air · light partial wind out · roof open

1.17× 85°F 6 mph open

#1 Kyle Schwarber 4th signal park · pitcher · top · ·

COL

TB @ COL Wind out 1.349

Coors Field Park × 1.23 warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open

1.23× 77°F 11 mph open

· #10 Mickey Moniak 3rd signal park · arsenal · top ·

LAD

CHC

LAD @ CHC Wind out 1.345

Wrigley Field Park × 1.03 warm air · steady wind out · roof open

1.03× 81°F 8 mph open

· · #28 Pete Crow-Armstrong

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Step 2 of 9 1 candidate · 0 locked from this step

🎯

Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Zack Littell 📊 Elevated

25 HRs · 0.240 HR/IP · 17.1% HR/FB · 6.03 ERA

FIP 6.03 · xFIP 5.1 · Gap +0.93

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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