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Study Day
📅 2026-08-24
0
Top-5 Hits
0
Top-15 Hits
13
HRs in Slate
76%
Coverage
151
Scored
What Happened
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
11 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
12 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
8 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Kumar Rocker: {'batter': 'Munetaka Murakami', 'rank': 1, 'score': 71.0}, {'batter': 'Miguel Vargas', 'rank': 7, 'score': 66.0}
Merrill Kelly: {'batter': 'Pete Crow-Armstrong', 'rank': 2, 'score': 71.0}, {'batter': 'Seiya Suzuki', 'rank': 10, 'score': 59.0}, {'batter': 'Ian Happ', 'rank': 15, 'score': 57.0}
Jeffrey Springs: {'batter': 'Byron Buxton', 'rank': 3, 'score': 71.0}, {'batter': 'Kody Clemens', 'rank': 5, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Royce Lewis', 'rank': 12, 'score': 59.0}, {'batter': 'Josh Bell', 'rank': 13, 'score': 59.0}, {'batter': 'Brooks Lee', 'rank': 14, 'score': 58.0}
Ryan Feltner: {'batter': 'CJ Abrams', 'rank': 6, 'score': 66.0}, {'batter': 'Abimelec Ortiz', 'rank': 8, 'score': 61.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Munetaka Murakami | Kumar Rocker | 35.5% | 71 | 4.5 | 1.03 | · | 12.7% | |
| 2 | — | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Merrill Kelly | 30.2% | 71 | 5.9 | 0.93 | · | 12.2% | |
| 3 | — | Byron Buxton | Jeffrey Springs | 23.9% | 71 | 6.3 | 1.26 | 🌧️ | 12.3% | |
| 4 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Logan Gilbert | 35.7% | 70 | 3.6 | 1.02 | · | 13.1% | |
| 5 | — | Kody Clemens | Jeffrey Springs | 21.8% | 67 | 6.3 | 1.26 | · | 10.6% | |
| 6 | — | CJ Abrams | Ryan Feltner | 22.2% | 66 | 5.8 | 1.18 | ❄ | 10.5% | |
| 7 | — | Miguel Vargas | Kumar Rocker | 28.8% | 66 | 4.5 | 1.03 | 🌤️ | 10.8% | |
| 8 | — | Abimelec Ortiz | Ryan Feltner | 36.2% | 61 | 5.8 | 1.18 | 🌧️ | 12.2% | |
| 9 | — | Mickey Moniak | Cade Cavalli | 29.0% | 60 | 3.4 | 1.18 | 🌧️ | 8.6% | |
| 10 | — | Seiya Suzuki | Merrill Kelly | 24.3% | 59 | 5.9 | 0.93 | 🌤️ | 11.3% | |
| 11 | — | Oneil Cruz | Robbie Ray | 19.5% | 59 | 4.7 | 0.91 | 🌤️ | 12.3% | |
| 12 | — | Royce Lewis | Jeffrey Springs | 16.2% | 59 | 6.3 | 1.26 | ❄ | 10.4% | |
| 13 | — | Josh Bell | Jeffrey Springs | 15.9% | 59 | 6.3 | 1.26 | · | 9.6% | |
| 14 | — | Brooks Lee | Jeffrey Springs | 24.8% | 58 | 6.3 | 1.26 | 🌤️ | 5.9% | |
| 15 | — | Ian Happ | Merrill Kelly | 20.7% | 57 | 5.9 | 0.93 | 🌧️ | 11.7% |
All 13 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jake Burger | 25.6% | 108.2 | 412ft | 32.0° |
| 29 | Daylen Lile | 11.5% | 105.2 | 420ft | 31.0° |
| 37 | Wyatt Langford | 18.1% | 103.0 | 368ft | 41.0° |
| 47 | Tristan Peters | 17.7% | 102.0 | 372ft | 40.0° |
| 57 | Rafael Devers | 18.9% | 108.9 | 427ft | 25.0° |
| 58 | Cal Raleigh | 16.0% | 98.8 | 351ft | 26.0° |
| 62 | Willi Castro | 11.7% | 104.2 | 397ft | 39.0° |
| 64 | Julio Rodríguez | 11.0% | 109.0 | 392ft | 21.0° |
| 94 | Ezequiel Tovar | 9.4% | 104.8 | 416ft | 27.0° |
| 96 | J. T. Realmuto | 8.7% | 102.9 | 377ft | 20.0° |
| 98 | Carson Kelly | 7.1% | 105.4 | 392ft | 23.0° |
| 99 | Jonathan Aranda | 6.7% | 99.1 | 380ft | 35.0° |
| 102 | Cole Young | 9.7% | 101.8 | 356ft | 19.0° |