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Strong Day
📅 2026-08-18
2
Top-5 Hits
4
Top-15 Hits
31
HRs in Slate
100%
Coverage
252
Scored
What Happened
A strong day: 2 of the top 5 hit home runs.
A high-volume day with 31 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
9 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
14 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
10 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
4 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
3 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
George Klassen: {'batter': 'Yordan Álvarez', 'rank': 1, 'score': 75.0}, {'batter': 'Christian Walker', 'rank': 13, 'score': 62.0}
Kevin Gausman: {'batter': 'Munetaka Murakami', 'rank': 2, 'score': 72.0}, {'batter': 'Miguel Vargas', 'rank': 8, 'score': 65.0}
Ryan Feltner: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 4, 'score': 71.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 6, 'score': 69.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Yordan Álvarez | George Klassen | 19.3% | 75 | 6.3 | 1.19 | · | 13.5% | |
| 2 | ✅ | Munetaka Murakami | Kevin Gausman | 34.4% | 72 | 3.6 | 1.08 | 🌤️ | 12.5% | 111.1 mph · 406ft · 39.0° |
| 3 | — | Matt Olson | Zebby Matthews | 32.1% | 72 | 5.1 | 0.94 | 🌤️ | 13.2% | |
| 4 | ✅ | Shohei Ohtani | Ryan Feltner | 30.4% | 71 | 5.8 | 1.03 | · | 13.2% | 105.6 mph · 448ft · 33.0° |
| 5 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Cade Gibson | 34.2% | 69 | 4.2 | 1.12 | · | 8.8% | |
| 6 | — | Max Muncy | Ryan Feltner | 31.3% | 69 | 5.8 | 1.03 | · | 12.1% | |
| 7 | — | Junior Caminero | José Soriano | 32.9% | 67 | 3.9 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 10.3% | |
| 8 | — | Miguel Vargas | Kevin Gausman | 30.3% | 65 | 3.6 | 1.08 | · | 10.4% | |
| 9 | — | Mike Trout | Cristian Javier | 24.7% | 65 | 5.7 | 1.19 | 🌧️ | 11.9% | |
| 10 | — | Willson Contreras | Merrill Kelly | 27.2% | 63 | 5.9 | 0.89 | 🌧️ | 13.1% | |
| 11 | — | Mickey Moniak | Eric Lauer | 17.2% | 63 | 5.9 | 1.03 | · | 10.7% | |
| 12 | ✅ | Griffin Conine | Zack Wheeler | 42.8% | 62 | 3.2 | 1.12 | 🌤️ | 9.9% | 109.4 mph · 422ft · 21.0° |
| 13 | — | Christian Walker | George Klassen | 18.4% | 62 | 6.3 | 1.19 | 🌧️ | 9.8% | |
| 14 | — | Abimelec Ortiz | Cal Quantrill | 36.4% | 61 | 4.6 | 1.05 | · | 12.4% | |
| 15 | ✅ | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Bryan Hudson | 28.2% | 61 | 2.9 | 1.08 | 🌤️ | 7.5% | 95.8 mph · 379ft · 39.0° |
All 31 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Munetaka Murakami | 34.4% | 111.1 | 406ft | 39.0° |
| 4 | Shohei Ohtani | 30.4% | 105.6 | 448ft | 33.0° |
| 12 | Griffin Conine | 42.8% | 109.4 | 422ft | 21.0° |
| 15 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 28.2% | 95.8 | 379ft | 39.0° |
| 17 | Cam Smith | 23.3% | 109.1 | 415ft | 25.0° |
| 51 | Bryce Eldridge | 17.1% | 104.1 | 405ft | 24.0° |
| 52 | Kazuma Okamoto | 15.0% | 106.8 | 442ft | 28.0° |
| 53 | Oneil Cruz | 16.7% | 107.7 | 422ft | 28.0° |
| 57 | Drake Baldwin | 12.4% | 105.3 | 383ft | 26.0° |
| 58 | Josh Lowe | 10.1% | 95.0 | 345ft | 30.0° |
| 61 | Coby Mayo | 18.9% | 103.9 | 407ft | 28.0° |
| 65 | Jake Bauers | 14.7% | 102.7 | 397ft | 29.0° |
| 69 | Jo Adell | 17.9% | 111.9 | 455ft | 30.0° |
| 73 | Willi Castro | 9.6% | 105.4 | 401ft | 23.0° |
| 75 | Trent Grisham | 19.5% | 101.4 | 403ft | 27.0° |
| 90 | Manny Machado | 10.9% | 101.2 | 397ft | 35.0° |
| 93 | Justin Foscue | 13.8% | 105.1 | 400ft | 30.0° |
| 104 | Luis Torrens | 16.8% | 104.6 | 417ft | 26.0° |
| 114 | Josh Bell | 13.8% | 110.0 | 434ft | 30.0° |
| 126 | Adley Rutschman | 10.0% | 107.0 | 401ft | 31.0° |
| 134 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 15.7% | 104.3 | 379ft | 29.0° |
| 161 | Michael Busch | 8.0% | 102.9 | 421ft | 27.0° |
| 167 | Alejandro Kirk | 9.1% | 100.8 | 414ft | 23.0° |
| 176 | Luis Robert Jr. | 13.7% | 107.7 | 390ft | 21.0° |
| 177 | Josh Smith | 12.2% | 105.6 | 357ft | 21.0° |
| 182 | Mickey Gasper | 7.8% | 106.0 | 414ft | 24.0° |
| 194 | Christian Yelich | 7.7% | 101.6 | 396ft | 34.0° |
| 208 | Masyn Winn | 7.1% | 105.6 | 368ft | 23.0° |
| 217 | Gabriel Moreno | 7.6% | 104.2 | 428ft | 31.0° |
| 232 | Luis Lara | 5.5% | 98.1 | 373ft | 30.0° |
| 244 | David Hamilton | 6.2% | 99.4 | 393ft | 26.0° |