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Strong Day
📅 2026-07-12
2
Top-5 Hits
3
Top-15 Hits
28
HRs in Slate
93%
Coverage
247
Scored
What Happened
A strong day: 2 of the top 5 hit home runs.
A high-volume day with 28 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
4 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
14 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
11 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
5 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
3 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
AZ Bullpen Proxy: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 1, 'score': 78.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 13, 'score': 66.0}
Matthew Boyd: {'batter': 'Elly De La Cruz', 'rank': 5, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Sal Stewart', 'rank': 8, 'score': 64.0}, {'batter': 'JJ Bleday', 'rank': 9, 'score': 64.0}
Seth Lugo: {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 6, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Samuel Basallo', 'rank': 11, 'score': 64.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ✅ | Shohei Ohtani | AZ Bullpen Proxy | 35.5% | 78 | 4.5 | 1.22 | 🌧️ | 16.5% | 111.8 mph · 437ft · 33.0° |
| 2 | ✅ | James Wood | Will Warren | 35.7% | 71 | 3.8 | 1.08 | · | 12.7% | 110.0 mph · 434ft · 26.0° |
| 3 | — | Ben Rice | Cade Cavalli | 34.5% | 69 | 3.4 | 1.08 | 🌤️ | 10.5% | |
| 4 | — | Junior Caminero | Emerson Hancock | 32.1% | 69 | 3.7 | 1.02 | 🌤️ | 11.4% | |
| 5 | — | Elly De La Cruz | Matthew Boyd | 39.6% | 67 | 4.1 | 1.08 | 🌤️ | 13.8% | |
| 6 | — | Pete Alonso | Seth Lugo | 32.5% | 67 | 4.5 | 1.17 | 🌧️ | 11.3% | |
| 7 | — | Yordan Alvarez | MacKenzie Gore | 24.7% | 67 | 3.5 | 0.94 | 🌤️ | 12.4% | |
| 8 | — | Sal Stewart | Matthew Boyd | 34.0% | 64 | 4.1 | 1.08 | · | 13.3% | |
| 9 | — | JJ Bleday | Matthew Boyd | 32.1% | 64 | 4.1 | 1.08 | ❄ | 11.3% | |
| 10 | — | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Andrew Abbott | 30.9% | 64 | 5.0 | 1.08 | 🌧️ | 9.1% | |
| 11 | ✅ | Samuel Basallo | Seth Lugo | 27.6% | 64 | 4.5 | 1.17 | 🌤️ | 11.3% | 105.0 mph · 404ft · 22.0° |
| 12 | — | Ketel Marte | Emmet Sheehan | 24.1% | 63 | 4.5 | 1.22 | 🌧️ | 10.5% | |
| 13 | — | Max Muncy | AZ Bullpen Proxy | 19.3% | 66 | 4.5 | 1.22 | 🌧️ | 13.6% | |
| 14 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Tarik Skubal | 48.1% | 62 | 3.0 | 0.92 | 🌧️ | 12.3% | |
| 15 | — | Kody Clemens | José Soriano | 32.3% | 61 | 4.0 | 0.99 | · | 10.4% |
All 28 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | 35.5% | 111.8 | 437ft | 33.0° |
| 2 | James Wood | 35.7% | 110.0 | 434ft | 26.0° |
| 11 | Samuel Basallo | 27.6% | 105.0 | 404ft | 22.0° |
| 27 | Shea Langeliers | 20.3% | 105.1 | 411ft | 29.0° |
| 54 | Eugenio Suárez | 21.5% | 111.3 | 433ft | 31.0° |
| 59 | Chase DeLauter | 18.6% | 109.8 | 435ft | 24.0° |
| 83 | Jonathan Aranda | 11.7% | 96.0 | 337ft | 35.0° |
| 88 | Randy Arozarena | 11.9% | 101.7 | 378ft | 30.0° |
| 94 | Kyle Higashioka | 17.7% | 106.7 | 366ft | 21.0° |
| 96 | Tim Tawa | 14.2% | 102.6 | 414ft | 29.0° |
| 113 | Leody Taveras | 10.2% | 107.8 | 448ft | 27.0° |
| 121 | Josh Lowe | 14.0% | 102.8 | 405ft | 33.0° |
| 127 | Alex Bregman | 9.1% | 102.3 | 387ft | 38.0° |
| 134 | Cam Smith | 10.5% | 100.4 | 405ft | 30.0° |
| 141 | Trevor Larnach | 10.5% | 104.8 | 405ft | 30.0° |
| 142 | Henry Davis | 10.4% | 95.6 | 364ft | 28.0° |
| 157 | Brayan Rocchio | 8.6% | 102.6 | 398ft | 25.0° |
| 158 | Francisco Lindor | 7.7% | 98.8 | 377ft | 31.0° |
| 161 | Denzer Guzman | 6.9% | 98.5 | 357ft | 37.0° |
| 165 | Jose Altuve | 11.0% | 100.9 | 387ft | 23.0° |
| 166 | Brice Turang | 11.0% | 100.5 | 387ft | 27.0° |
| 178 | Jake McCarthy | 16.7% | 99.6 | 387ft | 30.0° |
| 183 | Weston Wilson | 8.8% | 101.1 | 401ft | 33.0° |
| 187 | Marcell Ozuna | 9.3% | 103.6 | 338ft | 24.0° |
| 202 | Sam Antonacci | 6.9% | 104.2 | 398ft | 33.0° |
| 204 | Ernie Clement | 6.4% | 98.4 | 376ft | 28.0° |
| 210 | Braden Montgomery | 8.7% | 94.3 | 359ft | 29.0° |
| 216 | Nathan Lukes | 7.7% | 95.3 | 376ft | 30.0° |