HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.25
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
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Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
2.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
35
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
2.9%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Tyler Stephenson | #103 | 47 | Yankee Stadium | 104.0mph | 28.0° | 401ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Blake Dunn | #168 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Tyler Stephenson | #103 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-21 | Eugenio Suárez | #91 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Sal Stewart | #64 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Nathaniel Lowe | #58 | 59 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Noelvi Marte | #53 | 59 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Spencer Steer | #48 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | JJ Bleday | #8 | 74 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Hayden Senger | #252 | 18 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Bo Bichette | #206 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | A.J. Ewing | #112 | 49 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Marcus Semien | #103 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Brett Baty | #102 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Carson Benge | #101 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-17 | MJ Melendez | #34 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Mark Vientos | #27 | 73 | 🟡 B | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-17 | Juan Soto | #21 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Josh Smith | #171 | 21 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Evan Carter | #142 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Wyatt Langford | #95 | 32 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Jake Burger | #87 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Joc Pederson | #78 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Danny Jansen | #77 | 38 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Brandon Nimmo | #62 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Corey Seager | #39 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-05 | Josh Jung | #33 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Josh Smith | #189 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Danny Jansen | #183 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Jake Burger | #175 | 24 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Wyatt Langford | #172 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Evan Carter | #169 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Brandon Nimmo | #130 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Corey Seager | #121 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Joc Pederson | #114 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-29 | Josh Jung | #26 | 47 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |