MLB Home Run Predictions — May 28, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-28: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 28, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #14 | Coby Mayo | Patrick Corbin | 60 | C+ Value |
| #19 | Michael Harris II | Payton Tolle | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #34 | Ian Happ | Paul Skenes | 46 | D Below |
| #71 | Bryan Reynolds | Colin Rea | 36 | D Below |
| #77 | Andrés Giménez | Chris Bassitt | 34 | D Below |
| #79 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | Payton Tolle | 32 | D Below |
| #80 | Wenceel Pérez | Grayson Rodriguez | 31 | D Below |
| #87 | Isaac Paredes | Nathan Eovaldi | 28 | D Below |
| #88 | Ozzie Albies | Payton Tolle | 28 | D Below |
| #94 | Josh Jung | Spencer Arrighetti | 26 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Bryan Reynolds, Andrés Giménez, Ronald Acuña Jr., Wenceel Pérez, Isaac Paredes, Ozzie Albies, Josh Jung