MLB Home Run Predictions — May 27, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-27: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 27, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
23
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
6/15
Top-15 picks that homered
54.7 vs 42.6
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Byron Buxton | David Sandlin | 85 | A Excellent |
| #7 | Munetaka Murakami | Connor Prielipp | 77 | B AboveAvg |
| #8 | Yordan Álvarez | Jacob deGrom | 76 | B AboveAvg |
| #12 | Juan Soto | Andrew Abbott | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #13 | Brandon Lowe | Jameson Taillon | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #14 | Shohei Ohtani | Tomoyuki Sugano | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #27 | Andy Pages | Tomoyuki Sugano | 68 | C+ Value |
| #31 | Freddie Freeman | Tomoyuki Sugano | 67 | C+ Value |
| #32 | Gunnar Henderson | Steven Matz | 67 | C+ Value |
| #61 | Julio Rodríguez | Jeffrey Springs | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Kazuma Okamoto | Eury Pérez | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #69 | Ian Happ | Bubba Chandler | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #82 | Kody Clemens | David Sandlin | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #122 | Trea Turner | Walker Buehler | 45 | D Below |
| #126 | Jarren Duran | Bryce Elder | 44 | D Below |
| #143 | Chase Meidroth | Connor Prielipp | 41 | D Below |
| #148 | Rob Refsnyder | Jeffrey Springs | 40 | D Below |
| #150 | Blaze Alexander | Steven Matz | 40 | D Below |
| #175 | Konnor Griffin | Jameson Taillon | 36 | D Below |
| #176 | Ryan McMahon | Noah Cameron | 36 | D Below |
| #181 | Spencer Torkelson | José Soriano | 35 | D Below |
| #187 | Joc Pederson | Mike Burrows | 35 | D Below |
| #225 | Eric Wagaman | Andrew Abbott | 28 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Julio Rodríguez, Kazuma Okamoto, Ian Happ, Kody Clemens, Trea Turner, Jarren Duran, Chase Meidroth, Rob Refsnyder, Blaze Alexander, Konnor Griffin, Ryan McMahon, Spencer Torkelson, Joc Pederson, Eric Wagaman
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.