MLB Home Run Predictions — May 18, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-18: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 18, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
25
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
0/15
Top-15 picks that homered
45.6 vs 45.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #17 | Sal Stewart | Andrew Painter | 76 | B AboveAvg |
| #32 | Jake Bauers | Shota Imanaga | 66 | C+ Value |
| #37 | Junior Caminero | Trevor Rogers | 62 | C+ Value |
| #48 | Bryson Stott | Nick Lodolo | 60 | C+ Value |
| #54 | Cody Bellinger | Patrick Corbin | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #57 | Zach Neto | J.T. Ginn | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #60 | Adley Rutschman | Shane McClanahan | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #80 | Willson Contreras | Seth Lugo | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #82 | Dansby Swanson | Brandon Sproat | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #102 | Julio Rodríguez | Noah Schultz | 48 | D Below |
| #113 | Nolan Arenado | Robbie Ray | 45 | D Below |
| #114 | Xavier Edwards | JR Ritchie | 44 | D Below |
| #119 | Josh Bell | Tatsuya Imai | 44 | D Below |
| #122 | George Springer | Ryan Weathers | 43 | D Below |
| #150 | Miguel Andujar | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 41 | D Below |
| #156 | Brett Baty | Jake Irvin | 40 | D Below |
| #158 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Patrick Corbin | 40 | D Below |
| #170 | Ernie Clement | Ryan Weathers | 39 | D Below |
| #178 | Willy Adames | Zac Gallen | 37 | D Below |
| #180 | José Ramírez | Framber Valdez | 36 | D Below |
| #188 | Matt Vierling | Slade Cecconi | 35 | D Below |
| #192 | Alec Bohm | Nick Lodolo | 34 | D Below |
| #207 | Tristan Peters | Bryan Woo | 31 | D Below |
| #232 | Javier Sanoja | JR Ritchie | 21 | D Below |
| #233 | Bo Bichette | Jake Irvin | 21 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Cody Bellinger, Zach Neto, Adley Rutschman, Willson Contreras, Dansby Swanson, Julio Rodríguez, Nolan Arenado, Xavier Edwards, Josh Bell, George Springer, Miguel Andujar, Brett Baty, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Ernie Clement, Willy Adames, José Ramírez, Matt Vierling, Alec Bohm, Tristan Peters, Javier Sanoja, Bo Bichette
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.