2026

MLB Home Run Predictions — April 20, 2026

The graded receipt for 2026-04-20: what the model predicted, what actually happened.

Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 20, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.

14
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
49.5 vs 41.5
Avg score: HR vs miss

Catch rates by cutoff

Top 5
1/5
20.0%
Top 10
1/10
10.0%
Top 15
1/15
6.7%
Top 25
3/25
12.0%

Home runs, graded

RankBatterVs pitcherScoreTier
#4 Matt Olson Jake Irvin
Nationals Park
77 B AboveAvg
#20 Christian Walker Slade Cecconi
Progressive Field
64 C+ Value
#24 Max Muncy Jose Quintana
Coors Field
64 C+ Value
#40 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Reid Detmers
Angel Stadium
55 C BelowAvg
#42 Dansby Swanson Aaron Nola
Wrigley Field
54 C BelowAvg
#47 Shea Langeliers Emerson Hancock
T-Mobile Park
52 C BelowAvg
#57 Nick Kurtz Emerson Hancock
T-Mobile Park
49 D Below
#61 Jac Caglianone Kyle Bradish
Kauffman Stadium
48 D Below
#71 Max Muncy Emerson Hancock
T-Mobile Park
46 D Below
#82 Daylen Lile Bryce Elder
Nationals Park
42 D Below
#96 Isaac Paredes Slade Cecconi
Progressive Field
38 D Below
#108 Miguel Rojas Jose Quintana
Coors Field
35 D Below
#109 Cal Raleigh J.T. Ginn
T-Mobile Park
35 D Below
#112 Agustín Ramírez Michael McGreevy
loanDepot Park
34 D Below

Outside the top 50

Nick Kurtz, Jac Caglianone, Max Muncy, Daylen Lile, Isaac Paredes, Miguel Rojas, Cal Raleigh, Agustín Ramírez

The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.
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