MLB Home Run Predictions — April 20, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-04-20: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for April 20, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | Matt Olson | Jake Irvin | 77 | B AboveAvg |
| #20 | Christian Walker | Slade Cecconi | 64 | C+ Value |
| #24 | Max Muncy | Jose Quintana | 64 | C+ Value |
| #40 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Reid Detmers | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #42 | Dansby Swanson | Aaron Nola | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #47 | Shea Langeliers | Emerson Hancock | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #57 | Nick Kurtz | Emerson Hancock | 49 | D Below |
| #61 | Jac Caglianone | Kyle Bradish | 48 | D Below |
| #71 | Max Muncy | Emerson Hancock | 46 | D Below |
| #82 | Daylen Lile | Bryce Elder | 42 | D Below |
| #96 | Isaac Paredes | Slade Cecconi | 38 | D Below |
| #108 | Miguel Rojas | Jose Quintana | 35 | D Below |
| #109 | Cal Raleigh | J.T. Ginn | 35 | D Below |
| #112 | Agustín Ramírez | Michael McGreevy | 34 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Nick Kurtz, Jac Caglianone, Max Muncy, Daylen Lile, Isaac Paredes, Miguel Rojas, Cal Raleigh, Agustín Ramírez