TB
@
7:10p
BOS
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.082
Temp
56.7°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
Jesse Scholtens
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.224 | 91.6 | · | 26.7% | 409 | 21.2% | 33.3% | 23.2% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 106 | 0.175 | 90.3 | · | 14.7% | 383 | 15.2% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.125 | 92.6 | · | 14.3% | 386 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Jarren Duran | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | 0.080 | 90.2 | · | 30.8% | 397 | 9.1% | 25.0% | 11.5% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 185 | 0.116 | 87.8 | · | 12.5% | 350 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 212 | 0.098 | 89.2 | · | 12.5% | 407 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 213 | 0.120 | 87.7 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Roman Anthony | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.084 | 92.3 | · | 5.9% | 391 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 236 | 0.091 | 85.4 | · | 10.0% | 386 | 3.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 38 |
Connelly Early
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 41 | 0.231 | 91.5 | · | 38.1% | 413 | 27.3% | 25.0% | 25.1% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.230 | 89.4 | · | 20.0% | 393 | 15.6% | 16.7% | 27.3% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 105 | 0.148 | 90.1 | · | 25.0% | 365 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Fraley | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.200 | 84.4 | · | 14.3% | 400 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 16.1% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Ben Williamson | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.088 | 88.8 | · | 14.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 218 | 0.042 | 84.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Fortes | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.106 | 88.5 | · | 0.0% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 228 | 0.106 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Walls | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 234 | 0.034 | 82.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 21 |