⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
TB
@ 7:10p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.082
Temp
56.7°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 31 0.224 91.6 · 26.7% 409 21.2% 33.3% 23.2% 34
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 32 ⚪ D · · 106 0.175 90.3 · 14.7% 383 15.2% 16.7% 9.0% 38
3 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 177 0.125 92.6 · 14.3% 386 11.8% 10.0% 8.6% 16
4 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 22 ⚪ D · · 179 0.080 90.2 · 30.8% 397 9.1% 25.0% 11.5% 39
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 21 ⚪ D · · 185 0.116 87.8 · 12.5% 350 6.2% 8.3% 6.6% 36
6 Trevor Story Trevor Story 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 212 0.098 89.2 · 12.5% 407 6.1% 0.0% 6.6% 31
7 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.120 87.7 · 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 31
8 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.084 92.3 · 5.9% 391 3.3% 0.0% 5.5% 21
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 236 0.091 85.4 · 10.0% 386 3.0% 8.3% 6.4% 38
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 44 ⚪ D · · 41 0.231 91.5 · 38.1% 413 27.3% 25.0% 25.1% 34
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.230 89.4 · 20.0% 393 15.6% 16.7% 27.3% 36
3 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 105 0.148 90.1 · 25.0% 365 12.5% 16.7% 9.0% 37
4 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 143 0.200 84.4 · 14.3% 400 6.7% 0.0% 16.1% 16
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 170 0.088 88.8 · 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 32
6 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 14 ⚪ D · · 218 0.042 84.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 41
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 219 0.106 88.5 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 27
8 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 228 0.106 87.4 · 0.0% 385 4.5% 0.0% 5.8% 30
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 234 0.034 82.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 21
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