2
HRs allowed
22.2%
HR rate (pool)
14.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.24
FIP
4.67
xFIP
-0.43
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
64
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 64th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
50.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.2 EV · 403 ft
max EV allowed 106.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 2 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Jesse Scholtens.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Slider Breaking
32.4%
84.0
17.2°
3
+1.1
Sinker Hard
24.5%
81.0
14.2°
1
-1.9
Fastball Hard
22.0%
83.8
35.3°
2
+1.6
Splitter Offspeed
11.0%
86.3
16.1°
1
+2.2
Sweeper Breaking
10.1%
76.7
24.1°
1
+3.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)2
Pool HR rate22.2%
Pool HR/game day2.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB14.2% 64
HR/9—
FIP4.24 57
xFIP4.67
FIP − xFIP-0.43 22
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed50.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Slider
Breaking · 32.4% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle17.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches195
Sinker
Hard · 24.5% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle14.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches147
Fastball
Hard · 22.0% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle35.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches132
Splitter
Offspeed · 11.0% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle16.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches66
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.1% usage
+3.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.7 mph
Avg launch angle24.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches61
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Jesse Scholtens.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
2 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.2 EV · 403 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-08
9
2
106.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Jesse Scholtens isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.