LongDong™ — STL @ CIN

STL

@ 7:15p

CIN

Great American Ball Park · 36 ranked batters

Park Factor

1.11×

Weather Mod

+1.0%

mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open

Combined

1.221

Temp

69.2°F

Wind

10.4 mph

slight_out

Roof

open

Chase Petty RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Jordan Walker	79	🟡 B	+900	🌧️ COOL	5	0.274	94.4	12.7%	32.3%	406	19.4%	25.0%	34.9%	36
2	Iván Herrera	61	🔵 C+	·	·	43	0.175	89.3	8.2%	21.1%	403	17.6%	33.3%	13.3%	40
3	Alec Burleson	57	🟠 C	+950	🌧️ COOL	57	0.176	91.4	10.5%	18.2%	408	15.2%	9.1%	9.4%	33
4	Nolan Gorman	56	🟠 C	·	🌤️ WARM	61	0.138	89.6	10.0%	15.2%	409	8.9%	9.1%	7.1%	23
5	JJ Wetherholt	54	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	69	0.168	89.8	8.7%	21.2%	394	9.7%	18.2%	13.1%	29
6	Pedro Pagés ⚡	46	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	124	0.136	86.3	7.9%	22.2%	403	7.7%	10.0%	11.1%	19
7	Bryan Torres	43	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	153	0.132	90.4	8.7%	11.8%	415	0.0%	0.0%	6.5%	38
8	Masyn Winn	37	⚪ D	·	·	199	0.092	86.8	5.7%	6.7%	373	2.2%	0.0%	8.1%	27
9	Victor Scott II	27	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	251	0.072	87.7	3.3%	9.1%	406	2.1%	8.3%	6.6%	19

Kyle Leahy RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	JJ Bleday	77	🟡 B	+700	·	6	0.333	91.9	12.4%	31.2%	386	11.8%	16.7%	25.9%	35
2	Elly De La Cruz	71	🟡 B	+900	·	19	0.245	94.0	12.6%	19.4%	395	14.9%	8.3%	19.7%	31
3	Nathaniel Lowe	71	🟡 B	·	·	20	0.239	90.1	12.0%	37.5%	393	18.2%	0.0%	23.1%	17
4	Sal Stewart	70	🟡 B	+950	·	21	0.232	90.9	13.4%	22.2%	393	11.8%	16.7%	20.7%	33
5	Blake Dunn	54	🟠 C	·	❄ COLD	70	0.250	91.2	10.0%	0.0%	393	0.0%	0.0%	12.5%	20
6	Matt McLain	54	🟠 C	·	🌤️ WARM	71	0.144	87.9	8.6%	7.9%	398	8.5%	16.7%	10.9%	32
7	Will Benson	54	🟠 C	·	🌤️ WARM	72	0.150	91.7	11.7%	7.4%	407	0.0%	0.0%	10.2%	11
8	TJ Friedl	37	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	200	0.091	87.9	5.4%	8.3%	364	4.9%	0.0%	11.3%	7
9	P.J. Higgins	17	⚪ D	·	·	280	·	78.8	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	11.2%	3

Chris Paddack RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Jordan Walker	75	🟡 B	+900	🌧️ COOL	8	0.274	94.4	11.9%	32.3%	406	19.4%	25.0%	36.5%	36
2	Iván Herrera	58	🟠 C	·	·	51	0.175	89.3	7.7%	21.1%	403	17.6%	33.3%	13.9%	40
3	Alec Burleson	53	🟠 C	+950	🌧️ COOL	79	0.176	91.4	9.8%	18.2%	408	15.2%	9.1%	12.5%	33
4	Nolan Gorman	52	🟠 C	·	🌤️ WARM	85	0.138	89.6	9.4%	15.2%	409	8.9%	9.1%	9.4%	23
5	JJ Wetherholt	50	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	95	0.168	89.8	8.1%	21.2%	394	9.7%	18.2%	17.3%	29
6	Bryan Torres	40	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	171	0.132	90.4	8.2%	11.8%	415	0.0%	0.0%	8.6%	38
7	Masyn Winn	34	⚪ D	·	·	216	0.092	86.8	5.3%	6.7%	373	2.2%	0.0%	8.4%	27
8	César Prieto	30	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	238	·	90.9	8.9%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	7
9	Victor Scott II	24	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	262	0.072	87.7	3.1%	9.1%	406	2.1%	8.3%	8.7%	19

Andre Pallante RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	JJ Bleday	72	🟡 B	+700	·	14	0.333	91.9	10.2%	31.2%	386	11.8%	16.7%	23.7%	35
2	Nathaniel Lowe	67	🔵 C+	·	·	25	0.239	90.1	9.8%	37.5%	393	18.2%	0.0%	21.2%	17
3	Elly De La Cruz	66	🔵 C+	+900	·	28	0.245	94.0	10.3%	19.4%	395	14.9%	8.3%	18.1%	31
4	Sal Stewart	66	🔵 C+	+950	·	29	0.232	90.9	10.9%	22.2%	393	11.8%	16.7%	22.3%	33
5	Spencer Steer	56	🟠 C	·	·	60	0.186	90.2	10.2%	11.8%	392	10.6%	8.3%	12.7%	43
6	Dane Myers	52	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	89	0.136	89.9	8.7%	20.0%	378	10.0%	66.7%	17.5%	13
7	Blake Dunn	50	🟠 C	·	❄ COLD	96	0.250	91.2	8.2%	0.0%	393	0.0%	0.0%	13.5%	20
8	Eugenio Suárez	41	⚪ D	·	·	160	0.120	84.8	7.7%	18.2%	397	4.0%	0.0%	11.7%	0
9	Tyler Stephenson ⚡	41	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	161	0.123	90.8	9.3%	12.0%	388	4.9%	11.1%	9.1%	20

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