SF
@
—
SD
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.900
Temp
63.0°F
Wind
3.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Nick Pivetta
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willy Adames | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.196 | 88.9 | 11.7% | 15.1% | 401 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 10.9% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Chapman | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 59 | 0.198 | 92.2 | 10.4% | 14.8% | 399 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 10.8% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Smith | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 146 | 0.132 | 87.7 | 6.8% | 8.3% | 396 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 8.1% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 180 | 0.141 | 87.1 | 6.3% | 4.9% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Wilmer Flores | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 188 | 0.138 | 85.9 | 7.2% | 10.7% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.163 | 89.5 | 9.9% | 12.1% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 216 | 0.144 | 91.8 | 9.8% | 11.9% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Fitzgerald | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 227 | 0.111 | 84.5 | 7.0% | 6.3% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.103 | 88.2 | 7.8% | 4.9% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 17 |
Adrian Houser
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 93 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 8.9% | 11.9% | 391 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 8.8% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 7.6% | 11.9% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 178 | 0.128 | 89.0 | 6.5% | 7.8% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Manny Machado | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.185 | 92.9 | 8.9% | 13.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 8.2% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Elias Diaz | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 219 | 0.133 | 88.4 | 6.8% | 10.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 1 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.131 | 88.5 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Arraez | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 236 | 0.100 | 86.1 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Iglesias | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 241 | 0.065 | 84.0 | 3.5% | 4.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 0 |