TB
@
—
MIL
Park Factor
1.13×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · strong partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.017
Temp
33.6°F
Wind
20.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yandy Diaz | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 12 | 0.182 | 93.0 | 8.1% | 18.2% | 379 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 16.4% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Junior Caminero ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.271 | 92.4 | 10.5% | 24.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.1% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.173 | 93.0 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 398 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 14.8% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.221 | 91.1 | 10.1% | 22.0% | 400 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 18.1% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Christopher Morel | 51 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 79 | 0.176 | 91.8 | 10.8% | 14.5% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.7% | 6 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Lowe | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.146 | 88.6 | 6.8% | 12.9% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Walls | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 208 | 0.099 | 87.0 | 5.0% | 4.8% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 4 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Mangum | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.072 | 87.3 | 4.5% | 4.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 239 | 0.051 | 84.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 22 |
Drew Rasmussen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
William Contreras | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 32 | 0.140 | 91.1 | 6.3% | 12.4% | 387 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Turang | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 60 | 0.147 | 91.1 | 7.0% | 13.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Rhys Hoskins | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 61 | 0.179 | 90.2 | 8.1% | 13.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Frelick | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 66 | 0.117 | 85.5 | 4.4% | 7.8% | 390 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.193 | 89.3 | 7.8% | 12.4% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 9 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 127 | 0.188 | 90.2 | 8.1% | 29.6% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.1% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Collins | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 129 | 0.148 | 88.8 | 5.6% | 9.4% | 374 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 12.4% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 174 | 0.130 | 85.2 | 5.0% | 7.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 189 | 0.087 | 84.9 | 4.3% | 4.7% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 17 |