PIT
@
4:05p
SF
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
-7.0%
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Combined
0.268
Temp
53.0°F
Wind
19.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.275 | 88.8 | · | 33.3% | 402 | 13.8% | 27.3% | 23.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 51 | 0.265 | 95.9 | · | 30.0% | 415 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.136 | 86.4 | · | 16.0% | 385 | 3.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 111 | 0.183 | 90.4 | · | 16.0% | 388 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 144 | 0.119 | 91.9 | · | 12.5% | 415 | 12.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 161 | 0.115 | 88.3 | · | 15.4% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 177 | 0.080 | 89.3 | · | 9.5% | 400 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Yorke | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.089 | 90.4 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 5 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 234 | 0.049 | 86.8 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 34 |
Bubba Chandler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 46 | 0.238 | 89.7 | · | 19.2% | 396 | 15.2% | 25.0% | 20.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 132 | 0.149 | 92.8 | · | 11.1% | 386 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.091 | 87.4 | · | 14.3% | 349 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Willy Adames | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 153 | 0.166 | 87.9 | · | 16.7% | 375 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.155 | 88.1 | · | 9.1% | 363 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
Rafael Devers | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 164 | 0.087 | 90.2 | · | 15.8% | 395 | 8.7% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 189 | 0.065 | 86.6 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Harrison Bader | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 205 | 0.077 | 87.1 | · | 0.0% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 2 |
| 9 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 228 | 0.043 | 90.4 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 10 |