PIT
@
3:10p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 3:10p
· roof open
Park 1.13×
Wind 4 mph out
86°F
open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
3:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.36
86°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 77 | 🟡 B | · | · | 4 | 0.265 | 90.2 | 10.7% | 27.5% vs RHP | 392 | 17.2% | 27.3% | 39.6% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.190 | 91.9 | 11.2% | 23.1% vs RHP | 394 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 29.3% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Tyler Callihan | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.294 | 86.0 | 10.8% | 18.2% vs RHP | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 27 | 0.188 | 91.2 | 9.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 408 | 12.9% | 25.0% | 26.5% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.183 | 86.7 | 9.1% | 17.3% vs RHP | 395 | 12.7% | 27.3% | 26.3% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 59 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 53 | 0.175 | 89.6 | 7.6% | 20.5% vs RHP | 378 | 17.4% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.074 | 86.0 | 5.1% | 7.1% vs RHP | 389 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Mangum | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.050 | 83.0 | 2.7% | 9.1% vs RHP | 410 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Jared Triolo | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 209 | 0.051 | 87.5 | 3.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 26 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brett Sullivan | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 26 | 0.224 | 86.7 | 5.9% | 23.8% vs RHP | 396 | 11.1% | 50.0% | 43.5% | 14 |
| 2 |
|
Sterlin Thompson | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.157 | 86.6 | 7.7% | 25.0% vs RHP | 396 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 30.9% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 71 | 0.198 | 84.6 | 7.6% | 21.1% vs RHP | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 37.3% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Karros | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.127 | 89.4 | 8.2% | 15.0% vs RHP | 404 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.121 | 88.6 | 7.2% | 10.0% vs RHP | 422 | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.152 | 84.7 | 6.8% | 12.5% vs RHP | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Edouard Julien | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.103 | 91.2 | 8.2% | 11.5% vs RHP | 389 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Freeman ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.099 | 87.7 | 3.6% | 4.8% vs RHP | 369 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 15 |