2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PIT
@ 3:10p
COL
Coors Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 3:10p · roof open
Park 1.13× Wind 4 mph out 86°F open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
3:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.36

86°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.65 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.85 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 77 🟡 B · · 4 0.265 90.2 10.7% 27.5% vs RHP 392 17.2% 27.3% 39.6% 31
2 Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 13 0.190 91.9 11.2% 23.1% vs RHP 394 20.0% 33.3% 29.3% 16
3 Tyler Callihan Tyler Callihan 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 15 0.294 86.0 10.8% 18.2% vs RHP 411 0.0% 0.0% 35.7% 18
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 27 0.188 91.2 9.7% 15.6% vs RHP 408 12.9% 25.0% 26.5% 34
5 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.183 86.7 9.1% 17.3% vs RHP 395 12.7% 27.3% 26.3% 34
6 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 59 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 53 0.175 89.6 7.6% 20.5% vs RHP 378 17.4% 18.2% 17.9% 35
7 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.074 86.0 5.1% 7.1% vs RHP 389 2.9% 0.0% 7.8% 37
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 201 0.050 83.0 2.7% 9.1% vs RHP 410 3.0% 0.0% 10.0% 38
9 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 209 0.051 87.5 3.0% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 26
Jared Jones
Jared Jones RHP 💥 Meltdown
2.12 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.32 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brett Sullivan Brett Sullivan 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 26 0.224 86.7 5.9% 23.8% vs RHP 396 11.1% 50.0% 43.5% 14
2 Sterlin Thompson Sterlin Thompson 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.157 86.6 7.7% 25.0% vs RHP 396 12.5% 25.0% 30.9% 13
3 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 55 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 71 0.198 84.6 7.6% 21.1% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 37.3% 40
4 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.127 89.4 8.2% 15.0% vs RHP 404 7.1% 11.1% 6.9% 32
5 Willi Castro Willi Castro 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 103 0.121 88.6 7.2% 10.0% vs RHP 422 5.5% 9.1% 13.4% 38
6 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 112 0.152 84.7 6.8% 12.5% vs RHP 403 0.0% 0.0% 15.2% 25
7 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.103 91.2 8.2% 11.5% vs RHP 389 3.2% 0.0% 12.9% 19
8 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 179 0.099 87.7 3.6% 4.8% vs RHP 369 3.7% 0.0% 5.9% 15
🏟️
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