SD
@
2:35p
TEX
Stadium Conditions
Globe Life Field
First pitch 2:35p
· roof retractable
Park 0.94×
Wind 9 mph slight_out
87°F
retractable
+8
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
2:35p
Boost for HR environment
+8
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
3:35p
Boost for HR environment
+8
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
4:35p
Boost for HR environment
+8
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
5:35p
Boost for HR environment
+8
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
6:35p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.13
87°F, wind 9 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Rodolfo Duran | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.288 | 87.4 | 11.1% | 33.3% vs RHP | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35.3% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Ty France | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.217 | 91.0 | 10.1% | 35.0% vs RHP | 393 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 31.7% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 60 | 0.232 | 89.1 | 8.6% | 34.2% vs RHP | 394 | 13.8% | 20.0% | 25.9% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Manny Machado | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 85 | 0.173 | 89.8 | 8.8% | 25.7% vs RHP | 397 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.143 | 90.2 | 9.4% | 13.0% vs RHP | 407 | 11.8% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 159 | 0.115 | 87.8 | 7.5% | 20.0% vs RHP | 395 | 10.4% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Samad Taylor | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.100 | 84.3 | 5.2% | 25.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 31 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Burger | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.191 | 90.0 | 5.9% | 26.7% vs LHP | 397 | 14.7% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Joc Pederson | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 95 | 0.208 | 91.6 | 6.0% | 19.2% | 387 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.179 | 88.8 | 4.9% | 25.0% vs LHP | 392 | 10.9% | 36.4% | 18.3% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Higashioka | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.167 | 87.8 | 6.1% | 40.0% vs LHP | 397 | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.158 | 92.2 | 6.3% | 7.1% vs LHP | 411 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.156 | 89.6 | 4.5% | 16.7% vs LHP | 370 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Jung | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.144 | 90.0 | 4.5% | 16.7% vs LHP | 387 | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Nicky Lopez | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 229 | 0.067 | 83.2 | · | 9.1% | 397 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Alejandro Osuna | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 237 | 0.027 | 88.0 | · | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 12 |