2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PIT
@ 9:40p
ATH
Sutter Health Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Sutter Health Park

First pitch 9:40p · roof unknown
Park 1.19× Wind unknown unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.19

Unknown stadium. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Jared Jones
Jared Jones RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.35 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.08 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 80 🟢 A +235 · 1 0.242 94.1 13.6% 40.7% vs RHP 411 22.7% 41.7% 48.2% 30
2 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 77 🟡 B +245 · 5 0.265 91.8 12.5% 22.9% vs RHP 415 22.2% 27.3% 25.2% 42
3 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 72 🟡 B +350 · 11 0.235 89.9 10.7% 15.0% vs RHP 403 15.4% 33.3% 35.9% 34
4 Zack Gelof Zack Gelof 64 🔵 C+ +475 🌧️ COOL 23 0.204 88.9 9.1% 24.0% vs RHP 399 21.7% 25.0% 21.3% 32
5 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 54 🟠 C +500 · 44 0.175 89.8 9.5% 18.2% vs RHP 404 6.2% 10.0% 16.5% 27
6 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 44 ⚪ D +475 · 83 0.109 89.6 7.7% 23.8% vs RHP 399 3.6% 14.3% 14.1% 19
7 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 34 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 123 0.097 84.0 4.5% 13.6% vs RHP 368 4.1% 0.0% 8.9% 7
8 Jeff Mcneil Jeff Mcneil 29 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 137 0.071 86.3 3.4% 8.0% vs RHP 380 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 23
J.T. Ginn RHP
1.12 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.35 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 73 🟡 B +290 🌧️ COOL 9 0.271 90.2 8.9% 27.7% vs RHP 393 16.9% 27.3% 39.0% 32
2 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 56 🟠 C +475 🌧️ COOL 37 0.171 89.9 6.5% 22.2% vs RHP 380 17.1% 22.2% 22.8% 27
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 55 🟠 C +475 🌤️ WARM 40 0.184 86.3 7.1% 18.8% vs RHP 391 12.1% 18.2% 20.5% 31
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 54 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 41 0.157 91.1 8.1% 11.1% vs RHP 416 12.3% 16.7% 13.9% 35
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 100 0.101 89.5 7.2% 11.5% vs RHP 408 7.0% 0.0% 9.2% 11
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 33 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 125 0.072 85.7 4.5% 8.7% vs RHP 389 3.2% 8.3% 8.8% 40
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 140 0.056 83.9 2.4% 11.1% vs RHP 410 3.6% 0.0% 10.1% 31
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