LAA
@
9:40p
AZ
Stadium Conditions
Chase Field
First pitch 9:40p
· roof retractable
Park 0.95×
Wind 6 mph slight_out
106°F
retractable
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
11:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
12:40a
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
1:40a
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24
106°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.262 | 91.9 | 8.7% | 27.8% vs RHP | 409 | 18.0% | 38.5% | 23.9% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 53 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.206 | 89.6 | 7.7% | 16.7% vs RHP | 395 | 14.8% | 23.1% | 21.3% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Ketel Marte | 47 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 71 | 0.189 | 90.8 | 7.8% | 15.2% vs RHP | 416 | 11.5% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 95 | 0.174 | 85.3 | 6.1% | 17.6% vs RHP | 400 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.168 | 86.7 | 4.8% | 11.5% vs RHP | 399 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.127 | 88.7 | 5.9% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 3 |
| 7 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 28 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | 0.101 | 87.4 | 4.1% | 6.1% vs RHP | 379 | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 39 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mike Trout | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | · | 19 | 0.214 | 91.4 | 14.9% | 25.5% vs RHP | 408 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Zach Neto | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | · | 25 | 0.203 | 89.6 | 11.1% | 21.3% vs RHP | 400 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Oswald Peraza | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 74 | 0.163 | 87.4 | 9.7% | 11.8% vs RHP | 386 | 10.2% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jo Adell | 47 | ⚪ D | +370 | · | 75 | 0.140 | 90.7 | 9.5% | 10.8% vs RHP | 415 | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe | 43 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 87 | 0.107 | 87.0 | 11.3% | 14.3% vs RHP | 411 | 3.5% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Nolan Schanuel | 35 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 120 | 0.114 | 87.0 | 5.6% | 14.3% vs RHP | 371 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 10 |