2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
LAA
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 13 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Chase Field

First pitch 9:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.95× Wind 6 mph slight_out 106°F retractable
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
11:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
12:40a
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
110°F
1:40a
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24

106°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Walbert Ureña RHP
0.64 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.35 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 65 🔵 C+ +475 🌤️ WARM 16 0.262 91.9 8.7% 27.8% vs RHP 409 18.0% 38.5% 23.9% 40
2 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 53 🟠 C +750 🌧️ COOL 50 0.206 89.6 7.7% 16.7% vs RHP 395 14.8% 23.1% 21.3% 35
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 47 ⚪ D +425 · 71 0.189 90.8 7.8% 15.2% vs RHP 416 11.5% 16.7% 9.4% 42
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 41 ⚪ D +625 · 95 0.174 85.3 6.1% 17.6% vs RHP 400 11.1% 7.7% 10.8% 33
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 116 0.168 86.7 4.8% 11.5% vs RHP 399 8.2% 0.0% 8.0% 23
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 124 0.127 88.7 5.9% 18.2% vs RHP 396 9.4% 0.0% 8.5% 3
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 28 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 139 0.101 87.4 4.1% 6.1% vs RHP 379 5.5% 7.7% 5.7% 39
Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson RHP
1.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.49 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mike Trout Mike Trout 65 🔵 C+ +305 · 19 0.214 91.4 14.9% 25.5% vs RHP 408 16.7% 8.3% 14.3% 28
2 Zach Neto Zach Neto 62 🔵 C+ +425 · 25 0.203 89.6 11.1% 21.3% vs RHP 400 16.7% 25.0% 21.9% 21
3 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 47 ⚪ D +700 · 74 0.163 87.4 9.7% 11.8% vs RHP 386 10.2% 0.0% 9.2% 33
4 Jo Adell Jo Adell 47 ⚪ D +370 · 75 0.140 90.7 9.5% 10.8% vs RHP 415 12.1% 8.3% 7.8% 37
5 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 43 ⚪ D +525 · 87 0.107 87.0 11.3% 14.3% vs RHP 411 3.5% 14.3% 7.7% 21
6 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 35 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 120 0.114 87.0 5.6% 14.3% vs RHP 371 7.3% 0.0% 8.2% 10
🏟️
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