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DET
@
8:10p
HOU
Stadium Conditions
Minute Maid Park
First pitch 8:10p
· roof retractable
Park 0.97×
Wind 2 mph cross
78°F
retractable
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
11:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
11 mph · in
93°F
12:10a
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.07
78°F, wind 2 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.301 | 90.9 | 8.1% | 30.4% vs RHP | 394 | 21.2% | 25.0% | 25.9% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +410 | 🌧️ COOL | 31 | 0.234 | 91.0 | 7.5% | 27.3% vs RHP | 377 | 15.1% | 30.0% | 31.3% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 43 | 0.192 | 90.5 | 8.3% | 21.7% vs RHP | 395 | 15.9% | 25.0% | 18.5% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 50 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🔥 HOT | 61 | 0.160 | 91.4 | 8.1% | 14.0% vs RHP | 389 | 10.0% | 33.3% | 18.3% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
James Outman | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🔥 HOT | 72 | 0.195 | 85.5 | 3.7% | 22.2% vs RHP | 418 | 9.1% | 50.0% | 18.3% | 2 |
| 6 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 111 | 0.121 | 85.3 | 6.3% | 10.7% vs RHP | 388 | 7.3% | 18.2% | 8.7% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 33 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 126 | 0.124 | 87.9 | 6.4% | 5.1% vs RHP | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Colt Keith | 30 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.081 | 88.6 | 5.8% | 2.7% vs RHP | 419 | 1.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Zach Mckinstry ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.076 | 84.8 | 3.7% | 6.5% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 23 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.266 | 90.5 | 8.4% | 32.6% vs RHP | 390 | 23.2% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Matthews | 50 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.144 | 88.4 | 7.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 410 | 11.8% | 28.6% | 14.6% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 49 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🔥 HOT | 65 | 0.163 | 87.1 | 6.5% | 20.4% vs RHP | 368 | 10.4% | 27.3% | 18.8% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Cam Smith | 46 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.138 | 89.7 | 9.0% | 15.6% vs RHP | 415 | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Taylor Trammell | 35 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 117 | 0.130 | 89.3 | 5.2% | 9.1% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 35 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 119 | 0.124 | 85.9 | 5.2% | 8.0% vs RHP | 423 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.123 | 85.6 | 3.2% | 13.0% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 24 |