⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PHI
@
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.696
Temp
45.9°F
Wind
4.9 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.323 94.3 11.3% 28.6% 410 33.3% 33.3% 25.0% 19
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.226 91.3 8.7% 18.5% 404 16.7% 16.7% 14.3% 31
3 Max Kepler Max Kepler 37 ⚪ D · · 138 0.175 90.8 8.4% 12.2% 389 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 0
4 J.T. Realmuto 37 ⚪ D · · 142 0.127 90.0 7.3% 9.3% 408 16.7% 16.7% 5.4% 17
5 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 167 0.164 91.1 7.1% 11.7% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 27
6 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 30 ⚪ D · · 170 0.150 87.8 6.8% 10.6% 396 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 13
7 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 173 0.134 87.6 5.6% 7.8% 395 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 23
8 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 177 0.123 90.8 6.2% 10.0% 386 16.7% 16.7% 4.7% 32
9 Trea Turner Trea Turner 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.153 89.3 5.9% 9.4% 393 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 31
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 59 0.132 87.7 5.2% 8.3% 396 25.0% 25.0% 10.6% 18
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.196 88.9 9.0% 15.1% 401 14.3% 14.3% 12.6% 25
3 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 110 0.198 92.2 8.0% 14.8% 399 14.3% 14.3% 12.6% 31
4 Wilmer Flores Wilmer Flores 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 119 0.138 85.9 5.6% 10.7% 378 0.0% 0.0% 12.6% 32
5 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 154 0.163 89.5 7.6% 12.1% 394 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 16
6 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 159 0.144 91.8 7.6% 11.9% 403 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 25
7 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 27 ⚪ D · · 191 0.103 88.2 6.0% 4.9% 379 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 21
8 Tyler Fitzgerald Tyler Fitzgerald 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.111 84.5 5.4% 6.3% 380 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 2
9 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 198 0.141 87.1 4.9% 4.9% 381 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 26
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