⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIL
@
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.012
Temp
38.3°F
Wind
12.2 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.223 90.8 9.3% 15.2% 400 37.5% 37.5% 20.8% 32
2 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 42 0.189 90.1 6.8% 11.2% 386 11.1% 11.1% 15.2% 35
3 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 42 ⚪ D · · 111 0.165 88.3 8.0% 9.3% 391 14.3% 14.3% 12.0% 24
4 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 122 0.171 94.5 10.4% 14.8% 406 12.5% 12.5% 9.3% 27
5 Trevor Story Trevor Story 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 127 0.170 91.4 8.3% 15.2% 388 12.5% 12.5% 9.4% 31
6 Carlos Narvaez Carlos Narvaez 37 ⚪ D · · 137 0.179 91.1 8.0% 13.6% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 17
7 Romy Gonzalez Romy Gonzalez 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 155 0.178 93.3 9.4% 12.7% 413 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 25
8 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 160 0.185 91.8 8.2% 9.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 21
9 Abraham Toro Abraham Toro 27 ⚪ D · · 187 0.131 86.3 5.6% 8.5% 387 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 0
Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 William Contreras William Contreras 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 60 0.140 91.1 6.7% 12.4% 387 11.1% 11.1% 9.3% 29
2 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.148 88.8 5.9% 9.4% 374 12.5% 12.5% 6.2% 20
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.147 91.1 7.5% 13.3% 408 11.1% 11.1% 10.1% 29
4 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 115 0.193 89.3 8.3% 12.4% 397 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 2
5 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 40 ⚪ D · · 123 0.179 90.2 8.6% 13.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 12
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 143 0.188 90.2 8.6% 29.6% 395 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 28
7 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 158 0.087 84.9 4.6% 4.7% 387 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 22
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.117 85.5 4.7% 7.8% 390 11.1% 11.1% 5.0% 25
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 201 0.130 85.2 5.3% 7.3% 390 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 27
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