NYM
@
—
SF
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.783
Temp
55.2°F
Wind
8.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Landen Roupp
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.252 | 93.5 | 13.0% | 19.3% | 408 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Juan Soto | 54 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 63 | 0.262 | 93.8 | 12.7% | 25.1% | 400 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Mark Vientos | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.179 | 91.4 | 10.1% | 14.9% | 394 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 10.8% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.174 | 91.9 | 8.8% | 15.0% | 388 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Brett Baty | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 119 | 0.181 | 90.7 | 10.7% | 22.5% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 165 | 0.199 | 90.5 | 8.8% | 15.0% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Starling Marte | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 180 | 0.140 | 87.6 | 8.3% | 12.7% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.168 | 87.2 | 6.7% | 8.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Tyrone Taylor | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 232 | 0.097 | 86.5 | 5.8% | 2.0% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 9 |
Clay Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willy Adames | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.196 | 88.9 | 9.3% | 15.1% | 401 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Chapman | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 97 | 0.198 | 92.2 | 8.2% | 14.8% | 399 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 10.8% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Smith | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.132 | 87.7 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 396 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 8.1% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 162 | 0.141 | 87.1 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Wilmer Flores | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 174 | 0.138 | 85.9 | 5.7% | 10.7% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.163 | 89.5 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 211 | 0.144 | 91.8 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Fitzgerald | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 222 | 0.111 | 84.5 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 229 | 0.103 | 88.2 | 6.2% | 4.9% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 17 |