LongDong™ — MIL @ KC

MIL

@ —

Kauffman Stadium · 36 ranked batters

Park Factor

0.96×

Weather Mod

+3.0%

cold air · strong wind out · roof open

Combined

1.248

Temp

39.5°F

Wind

16.1 mph

out

Roof

open

Chad Patrick RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Salvador Perez	62	🔵 C+	·	🔥 HOT	22	0.209	90.0	10.9%	13.8%	399	20.0%	20.0%	10.7%	14
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	46	⚪ D	·	·	116	0.205	93.3	10.1%	10.6%	411	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	12
3	Vinnie Pasquantino	42	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	132	0.211	90.9	9.3%	14.3%	399	0.0%	0.0%	10.9%	16
4	Maikel Garcia	39	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	150	0.163	91.3	6.7%	8.3%	399	0.0%	0.0%	8.3%	11
5	Kyle Isbel	39	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	151	0.098	87.8	3.6%	4.0%	393	40.0%	40.0%	5.8%	13
6	Jac Caglianone	37	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	166	0.138	89.4	9.9%	13.0%	412	0.0%	0.0%	10.4%	7
7	Jonathan India	37	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	171	0.113	87.9	6.9%	5.1%	398	25.0%	25.0%	6.5%	14
8	Michael Massey	23	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	230	0.069	87.5	5.7%	2.7%	394	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%	5
9	Drew Waters	23	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	231	0.073	86.0	5.8%	2.4%	408	0.0%	0.0%	4.5%	6

Seth Lugo RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Brice Turang	61	🔵 C+	·	🔥 HOT	26	0.147	91.1	9.4%	13.3%	408	16.7%	16.7%	13.7%	15
2	William Contreras	58	🟠 C	·	🔥 HOT	40	0.140	91.1	8.4%	12.4%	387	16.7%	16.7%	13.3%	18
3	Rhys Hoskins	54	🟠 C	·	🔥 HOT	66	0.179	90.2	10.7%	13.0%	394	0.0%	0.0%	13.6%	16
4	Sal Frelick	51	🟠 C	·	🔥 HOT	83	0.117	85.5	5.9%	7.8%	390	16.7%	16.7%	10.5%	20
5	Jackson Chourio	49	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	94	0.193	89.3	10.4%	12.4%	397	0.0%	0.0%	13.3%	9
6	Christian Yelich	44	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	125	0.188	90.2	10.7%	29.6%	395	0.0%	0.0%	20.5%	20
7	Isaac Collins	42	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	131	0.148	88.8	7.4%	9.4%	374	20.0%	20.0%	11.6%	11
8	Caleb Durbin	38	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	158	0.130	85.2	6.7%	7.3%	390	0.0%	0.0%	10.2%	24
9	Joey Ortiz	36	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	176	0.087	84.9	5.8%	4.7%	387	0.0%	0.0%	8.2%	17

Brandon Sproat RHP 💥 Meltdown

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Salvador Perez	53	🟠 C	·	🔥 HOT	72	0.209	90.0	7.1%	0.0%	399	20.0%	20.0%	1.6%	14
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	38	⚪ D	·	·	164	0.205	93.3	6.5%	0.0%	411	0.0%	0.0%	1.2%	12
3	Vinnie Pasquantino	34	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	186	0.211	90.9	6.1%	0.0%	399	0.0%	0.0%	1.7%	16
4	Kyle Isbel	34	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	188	0.098	87.8	2.3%	0.0%	393	40.0%	40.0%	0.5%	13
5	Maikel Garcia	33	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	192	0.163	91.3	4.4%	0.0%	399	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%	11
6	Jonathan India	31	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	199	0.113	87.9	4.4%	0.0%	398	25.0%	25.0%	0.6%	14
7	Jac Caglianone	29	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	205	0.138	89.4	6.4%	0.0%	412	0.0%	0.0%	1.5%	7
8	Michael Massey	18	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	239	0.069	87.5	3.7%	0.0%	394	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	5
9	Drew Waters	18	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	240	0.073	86.0	3.7%	0.0%	408	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	6

Luinder Avila

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Brice Turang	46	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	117	0.147	91.1	4.8%	0.0%	408	16.7%	16.7%	1.5%	15
2	William Contreras	45	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	124	0.140	91.1	4.3%	0.0%	387	16.7%	16.7%	1.4%	18
3	Rhys Hoskins	39	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	152	0.179	90.2	5.5%	0.0%	394	0.0%	0.0%	1.5%	16
4	Sal Frelick	39	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	154	0.117	85.5	3.0%	0.0%	390	16.7%	16.7%	0.9%	20
5	Jackson Chourio	34	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	187	0.193	89.3	5.3%	0.0%	397	0.0%	0.0%	1.4%	9
6	Isaac Collins	30	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	204	0.148	88.8	3.8%	0.0%	374	20.0%	20.0%	1.1%	11
7	Christian Yelich	28	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	209	0.188	90.2	5.5%	0.0%	395	0.0%	0.0%	3.4%	20
8	Caleb Durbin	26	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	219	0.130	85.2	3.4%	0.0%	390	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	24
9	Joey Ortiz	25	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	224	0.087	84.9	2.9%	0.0%	387	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	17

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