PHI
@
—
COL
Park Factor
1.17×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.819
Temp
35.6°F
Wind
2.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Jesús Luzardo
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.243 | 90.8 | 9.2% | 18.6% | 409 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 46 | 0.147 | 89.4 | 7.8% | 9.0% | 406 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 10.5% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 56 | 0.249 | 89.7 | 9.5% | 16.8% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 7 |
| 4 |
|
Jordan Beck | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.158 | 87.4 | 8.0% | 12.2% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Toglia | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.163 | 89.9 | 8.2% | 15.3% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 2 |
| 6 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 147 | 0.143 | 89.9 | 8.4% | 11.2% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Ryan Ritter | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 172 | 0.096 | 85.2 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 354 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Farmer | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 193 | 0.137 | 87.0 | 6.3% | 10.7% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 213 | 0.080 | 90.1 | 3.7% | 2.3% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 1 |