⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SD
@
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.104
Temp
56.1°F
Wind
13.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 27 0.223 90.8 11.6% 15.2% 400 50.0% 50.0% 10.3% 17
2 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 33 0.171 94.5 13.0% 14.8% 406 16.7% 16.7% 10.2% 14
3 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 59 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 34 0.189 90.1 8.5% 11.2% 386 14.3% 14.3% 8.9% 15
4 Trevor Story Trevor Story 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.170 91.4 10.3% 15.2% 388 16.7% 16.7% 10.3% 20
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.165 88.3 10.0% 9.3% 391 20.0% 20.0% 8.1% 22
6 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.185 91.8 10.3% 9.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 16
7 Carlos Narvaez Carlos Narvaez 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 140 0.179 91.1 10.0% 13.6% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 17
8 Romy Gonzalez Romy Gonzalez 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 142 0.178 93.3 11.7% 12.7% 413 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 19
9 Abraham Toro Abraham Toro 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 191 0.131 86.3 7.0% 8.5% 387 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 6
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.193 89.7 7.6% 0.0% 391 25.0% 25.0% 1.3% 21
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.177 89.9 6.5% 0.0% 402 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 22
3 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 35 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 184 0.128 89.0 5.5% 0.0% 389 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 22
4 Manny Machado Manny Machado 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 198 0.185 92.9 7.5% 0.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 13
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 210 0.178 93.3 6.9% 0.0% 409 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 10
6 Elias Diaz Elias Diaz 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 218 0.133 88.4 5.7% 0.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1
7 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.131 88.5 5.2% 0.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 19
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 237 0.100 86.1 2.2% 0.0% 370 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 16
9 Jose Iglesias Jose Iglesias 14 ⚪ D · · 242 0.065 84.0 3.0% 0.0% 391 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0
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