SD
@
—
BOS
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.104
Temp
56.1°F
Wind
13.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Randy Vásquez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.223 | 90.8 | 11.6% | 15.2% | 400 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 10.3% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Roman Anthony | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.171 | 94.5 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 406 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Alex Bregman | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 34 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 8.5% | 11.2% | 386 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Story | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.170 | 91.4 | 10.3% | 15.2% | 388 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.165 | 88.3 | 10.0% | 9.3% | 391 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 8.1% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Jarren Duran | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.185 | 91.8 | 10.3% | 9.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 140 | 0.179 | 91.1 | 10.0% | 13.6% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Romy Gonzalez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 142 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 11.7% | 12.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Abraham Toro | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 191 | 0.131 | 86.3 | 7.0% | 8.5% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 6 |
Connelly Early
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 7.6% | 0.0% | 391 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 1.3% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 184 | 0.128 | 89.0 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Manny Machado | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 198 | 0.185 | 92.9 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 210 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Elias Diaz | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 218 | 0.133 | 88.4 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 1 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.131 | 88.5 | 5.2% | 0.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Arraez | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 237 | 0.100 | 86.1 | 2.2% | 0.0% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Iglesias | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 242 | 0.065 | 84.0 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0 |