MIN
@
—
BAL
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.896
Temp
32.4°F
Wind
0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Shane Baz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.287 | 92.5 | 12.9% | 21.3% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2 |
|
Matt Wallner | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 13 | 0.262 | 91.0 | 11.5% | 19.6% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.4% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.152 | 89.8 | 9.1% | 9.6% | 402 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 15.7% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Kody Clemens | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 31 | 0.221 | 91.5 | 10.7% | 15.7% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Tristan Gray ⚡ | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 35 | 0.179 | 91.4 | 11.2% | 10.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.153 | 90.9 | 8.3% | 12.0% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.5% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Victor Caratini ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.145 | 88.7 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.8% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 58 | 0.143 | 86.2 | 7.0% | 7.7% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Bell ⚡ | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.179 | 90.4 | 10.7% | 15.1% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.7% | 13 |
Bailey Ober
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso ⚡ | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.252 | 93.5 | 14.3% | 19.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Taylor Ward | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.247 | 90.1 | 12.2% | 18.2% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.4% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 22 | 0.171 | 90.6 | 9.0% | 11.9% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 36 | 0.165 | 89.1 | 9.8% | 12.5% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.1% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler O'Neill | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 40 | 0.193 | 88.8 | 13.4% | 13.0% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Coby Mayo | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.171 | 87.3 | 10.5% | 12.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.173 | 88.8 | 10.1% | 11.1% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.1% | 4 |
| 8 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.165 | 92.1 | 9.6% | 12.3% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.9% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
Ryan Mountcastle | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.117 | 90.7 | 11.3% | 8.9% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 10 |