⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
MIN
@
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.896
Temp
32.4°F
Wind
0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.287 92.5 12.9% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 23.3% 10
2 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 65 🔵 C+ · · 13 0.262 91.0 11.5% 19.6% 406 0.0% 0.0% 22.4% 14
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.152 89.8 9.1% 9.6% 402 50.0% 50.0% 15.7% 22
4 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 59 🟠 C · · 31 0.221 91.5 10.7% 15.7% 392 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 17
5 Tristan Gray Tristan Gray 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.179 91.4 11.2% 10.3% 387 0.0% 0.0% 16.2% 12
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 47 0.153 90.9 8.3% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 17.5% 12
7 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 53 0.145 88.7 8.6% 11.0% 387 0.0% 0.0% 16.8% 12
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 58 0.143 86.2 7.0% 7.7% 399 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 25
9 Josh Bell Josh Bell 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 66 0.179 90.4 10.7% 15.1% 404 0.0% 0.0% 19.7% 13
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.252 93.5 14.3% 19.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 19
2 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.247 90.1 12.2% 18.2% 396 0.0% 0.0% 19.4% 9
3 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 62 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 22 0.171 90.6 9.0% 11.9% 398 0.0% 0.0% 15.7% 15
4 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 36 0.165 89.1 9.8% 12.5% 412 0.0% 0.0% 16.1% 14
5 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 40 0.193 88.8 13.4% 13.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 16.4% 11
6 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.171 87.3 10.5% 12.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 15.8% 10
7 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.173 88.8 10.1% 11.1% 403 0.0% 0.0% 15.1% 4
8 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.165 92.1 9.6% 12.3% 393 0.0% 0.0% 15.9% 13
9 Ryan Mountcastle Ryan Mountcastle 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 103 0.117 90.7 11.3% 8.9% 404 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 10
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