MIL
@
—
BOS
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.644
Temp
37.7°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.223 | 90.8 | 9.9% | 15.2% | 400 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 21.0% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Alex Bregman | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 48 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 7.2% | 11.2% | 386 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 126 | 0.171 | 94.5 | 11.1% | 14.8% | 406 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 127 | 0.165 | 88.3 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 391 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Trevor Story | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 140 | 0.170 | 91.4 | 8.8% | 15.2% | 388 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.179 | 91.1 | 8.5% | 13.6% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Romy Gonzalez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 169 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Jarren Duran | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 177 | 0.185 | 91.8 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Abraham Toro | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.131 | 86.3 | 6.0% | 8.5% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 0 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Isaac Collins | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.148 | 88.8 | 6.0% | 9.4% | 374 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 146 | 0.193 | 89.3 | 8.4% | 12.4% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 1 |
| 3 |
|
Rhys Hoskins | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 153 | 0.179 | 90.2 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 13 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 154 | 0.147 | 91.1 | 7.6% | 13.3% | 408 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 171 | 0.140 | 91.1 | 6.8% | 12.4% | 387 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.188 | 90.2 | 8.7% | 29.6% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 192 | 0.117 | 85.5 | 4.8% | 7.8% | 390 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 197 | 0.087 | 84.9 | 4.7% | 4.7% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.130 | 85.2 | 5.4% | 7.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 28 |