⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PHI
@
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.783
Temp
53.7°F
Wind
7.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 76 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 6 0.323 94.3 14.1% 28.6% 410 28.6% 28.6% 27.3% 18
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 61 0.226 91.3 10.9% 18.5% 404 14.3% 14.3% 14.7% 33
3 Max Kepler Max Kepler 40 ⚪ D · · 141 0.175 90.8 10.5% 12.2% 389 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 0
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 150 0.134 87.6 7.0% 7.8% 395 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 26
5 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 165 0.150 87.8 8.5% 10.6% 396 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 16
6 J.T. Realmuto 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 167 0.127 90.0 9.2% 9.3% 408 14.3% 14.3% 5.2% 19
7 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 184 0.164 91.1 8.9% 11.7% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 30
8 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 196 0.123 90.8 7.7% 10.0% 386 14.3% 14.3% 5.1% 34
9 Trea Turner Trea Turner 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 200 0.153 89.3 7.5% 9.4% 393 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 33
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 43 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 119 0.132 87.7 4.9% 8.3% 396 22.2% 22.2% 7.7% 21
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.196 88.9 8.5% 15.1% 401 12.5% 12.5% 9.2% 29
3 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 162 0.198 92.2 7.5% 14.8% 399 12.5% 12.5% 9.2% 34
4 Wilmer Flores Wilmer Flores 35 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 168 0.138 85.9 5.2% 10.7% 378 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 34
5 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.163 89.5 7.2% 12.1% 394 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 16
6 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 217 0.144 91.8 7.1% 11.9% 403 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 26
7 Tyler Fitzgerald Tyler Fitzgerald 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 230 0.111 84.5 5.1% 6.3% 380 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 1
8 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 231 0.141 87.1 4.6% 4.9% 381 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 30
9 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 21 ⚪ D · · 232 0.103 88.2 5.7% 4.9% 379 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 25
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